2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum"Why the court will uphold Obamacare" - Robert Reich in Salon
http://www.salon.com/2012/06/27/why_the_court_will_uphold_obamacare/singleton//"Predictions are always hazardous when it comes to the economy, the weather, and the Supreme Court. I wont get near the first two right now, but Ill hazard a guess on what the Court is likely to decide tomorrow: It will uphold the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) by a vote of 6 to 3.
Three reasons for my confidence:
First, Chief Justice John Roberts is or should be concerned about the steadily-declining standing of the Court in the publics mind, along with the growing perception that the justices decide according to partisan politics rather than according to legal principle. The 5-4 decision in Citizens United, for example, looked to all the world like a political rather than a legal outcome, with all five Republican appointees finding that restrictions on independent corporate expenditures violate the First Amendment, and all four Democratic appointees finding that such restrictions are reasonably necessary to avoid corruption or the appearance of corruption. Or consider the Courts notorious decision in Bush v. Gore."
snip.....
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here's hoping....
Stuart G
(38,448 posts)Certainly there is a chance the Court will uphold Healthcare Reform. Maybe just one of the Republicans care about "health" of
the people here.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)As to Reich's first reason:
I suspect (hope) he wrote this before the Montana Decision that affirmed C/U.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)I'm frankly not so optimistic that Roberts cares.
longship
(40,416 posts)Thank goodness I am well stocked up. But by tomorrow I may be sick of it. Too bad the last Star Trek movie was so bad.
In the meantime...
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Reich writes: "The 5-4 decision in Citizens United, for example, looked to all the world like a political rather than a legal outcome, with all five Republican appointees finding that restrictions on independent corporate expenditures violate the First Amendment, and all four Democratic appointees finding that such restrictions are reasonably necessary to avoid corruption or the appearance of corruption."
At the time of the Citizens United decision, the Court had six Justices appointed by Republicans and only three appointed by Ginsburg. One of the four dissenters was Stevens, who was appointed by Ford.
Reich's mistake is understandable, since by today's standards Ford would be much too far to the left to get anywhere in the Republican Party.
Zyzafyx
(124 posts)But r anyway
DCBob
(24,689 posts)until an actual real-life case is brought before them.
Rosanna Lopez
(308 posts)This site predicts that the ruling will be at about 10:15 am, after a series of smaller cases are released first.
http://www.scotusblog.com/2012/06/anticipating-the-health-care-decision-in-plain-english/#more-147840