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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Oregon State Poll Hillary 44 % Bernie 39 % 12 % undecided
http://portlandtribune.com/pt/9-news/268868-143559-poll-clinton-trump-lead-oregon-party-choices
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New Oregon State Poll Hillary 44 % Bernie 39 % 12 % undecided (Original Post)
K lib
Aug 2015
OP
hedda_foil
(16,375 posts)1. Can anyone find the margin of error?
I did look but couldn't find it.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)5. Horrendous poll. MOE is +/- 7 percent and poll was internet based
Only 206 surveyed for the Democratic nomination, as well.
chknltl
(10,558 posts)2. Warms my heart.
Watching our next POTUS's rise to victory.
HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)3. Margin of errors tend to be 3-5% in these polls.
So it's pretty safe to assume that it's a statistical tie between Sanders and Clinton. This is a pleasant surprise!
It is 7 percent for the 206 Democrats surveyed and 8 percent for the GOP sample of 169 voters.
http://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2015/08/oregon_presidential_poll_hilla.html
Cant really tell anything until more polls come out in Oregon
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)6. Even worse than that. It is an internet poll whose sample is only from previous poll takers
Enormous selection bias. This poll will not make it into RCP or Pollster aggregates.
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)7. Good. The primaries needs to be competitive
Oregon will be a swing state again. Bush almost won it in '00 and '04. Bernie Sanders can win Oregon in the primaries and the GE - if nominated.