2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumA veep for Hillary
This is an updated version. I reposted this.
Who do you think would be good choices for Hillary Clinton as vice president? Who would you NOT want to see on the ticket? I personally would want to see Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine; Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack; and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro as her VP choice. Other choices could be Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill, former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, DHS Secretary Jeh Johnson, Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed, and a dark horse: Former Indiana congressman and former Ambassador to India Timothy Roemer. Who can you see Hillary Clinton picking as her running mate?
ericson00
(2,707 posts)then he'd have been perfect. from a swing state and swing area, Hispanic, experienced, etc. But since he's not a contender, I'd go with Steve Beshear, gov of Kentucky. Even if Hillary doesn't win there (Bill did twice tho by small margins tho a win is a win), she'll have some proximity to Missouri and Arkansas as well as Ohio and Indiana. He's also next to WV, which Bill won by a mile twice. Yes its true Obama got blown out there but I think skin color in a state like WV did not help.
Castro, idk, because he's got no swing states in his proximity but he could boost Hispanic turnout in other swing states.
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Beshear brings KY, OH, WV, he's better than Manchin.
Kaine brings VA, MN, and MO to Hillary. Kaine grew up in Kansas City, and if you have Kaine campaign there in August and September 2016, it can make a difference by October. Democrats should try to compete in Missouri. Jason Kander and Chris Koster would benefit from Hillary and Kaine campaigning there.
Kaine has working class roots that would play well in Ohio. People say that VP picks don't matter, but sometimes they do.
SheilaT
(23,156 posts)Am I the only one who thinks that all of these senior citizens are not such a good idea?
Don't misunderstand. I'll be 67 myself next month, but after one of the youngest Presidents in history, we're well on track to a fairly old one, no matter who gets nominated, who wins.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)"Betrayed" - such hyperbole. Hillary had already blown it by the time Bill Richardson left the contest and endorsed Obama when it was clear he would win and, in fact, did end up winning the nomination. The Clintons are whiny children, really rotten sports, expecting those around them to go down with the ship. They will never make it back into the White House regardless of their bullying politics, so speculation on Veep is a pointless exercise. Proceed.
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)They're both rising stars and can do well governing. They're executives. They ran cities.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)840high
(17,196 posts)VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)We will have one
ericson00
(2,707 posts)the Clintons. Before them, the Democratic Party lost 5 out of 6 presidential contests. Since the Clintons, the Democrats have won 5 out of 6 popular elections (and 5 out of 6 elections given that 2000 was stolen). In the electoral college, Democrats averaged 113 electoral votes from 1968-1988. Since 1992, we've averaged 327. In the same periods, the GOP went from averaging >400 to 210. From 1968-1988, IL, NM, CA, NJ, VT, and NH went Republican 6 out of 6 times, MI, DE, ME 5 out of 6 times, PA, CT, ME, MD 4 out of 6 times. Those states alone add up to 161 EVs. These states (except NH in 2000 and NM in 2004) have all gone Democrat 6 for 6 since Bill and Hillary Clinton came along. (and no Republican excuses please)
A party and cause cannot survive by eating their own. Ask Donald Trump and the GOP.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)This being the most current measure of their clout, and it ain't all that anymore.
Link: http://www.politico.com/story/2014/11/2014-elections-clinton-candidates-112559.html
Candidate Alison "I'm a Clinton Democrat" Grimes was coached by Bill Clinton to reject Obama and she lost too, garnering fewer votes than Obama did in Kentucky.
Link: http://www.politicususa.com/2014/11/08/running-president-obama-costs-big-time-kentucky.html
ericson00
(2,707 posts)whether they associated with Clinton or didn't. Overall it was a bad year for Dem congressional candidates everywhere.
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Sad all around.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Last edited Fri Jul 31, 2015, 11:15 PM - Edit history (1)
Julian Castro name come up. Looks like there are lots of good picks.
dsc
(52,162 posts)otherwise you are being very sexist given your avatar.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)dsc
(52,162 posts)It was hard to imagine that sexist of a post coming from an Ann Richards avitar.
Aerows
(39,961 posts)But she's good people. That was absolutely a typo.
dsc
(52,162 posts)with a GOP governor. That eliminates Brown, Warren, Booker, Durbin, and a few others. House members would be fine as would current or former cabinet members. Either Castro brother would work. Deval Patrick might be an interesting choice. Martin O'Malley could work. She will have to go young given her age and probably can't do a woman unless it is a woman of color.
gwheezie
(3,580 posts)Barbara Lee for Bernie. Sherrod Brown for Hillary. Amy Klobuchar for OMalley.
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,721 posts)She has the backbone of a jellyfish and she's the epitome of a convenient centrist. You can't get a straight answer from her or her staff about anything - she's a human windsock.
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,721 posts)She's one of my senators, and the only good things I can think of to say about her is that she interviews well and that she generally votes the Dem party line. But she has absolutely no discernible spine. She is definitely no progressive. Also, Minnesota has never been part of the Rust Belt. It's high tech and medical and a lot of agriculture - there's never been that much heavy industry.
gwheezie
(3,580 posts)Although I don't know how much it really matters where the VP comes from
SheilaT
(23,156 posts)But it doesn't really look as if he has higher ambitions.
Keeping in mind that many here said that the main reason Elizabeth Warren should not run is how much she can accomplish as a Senator instead, I think that would go double for Brown going from the Senate to being Vice President. However, if it comes to that, only he can make the decision.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)I think its Castro
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)eom
moobu2
(4,822 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Julian Castro would be great too, he can help with swing voters, Latinos and African-American voters, but he may be seen as Palinesque. He's more experienced than Palin, but the media would ask him "Are you ready to be president on Day One?".
Kaine and Vilsack are my favorite choices, right now. Vilsack is , but he is a good man, and was a good governor of Iowa and is a good Agriculture Secretary. They can help Hillary with Independent voters.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)eom
DCBob
(24,689 posts)And I think he wants it.
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Vilsack could help Hillary in the crucial Midwest, states such as IA, OH, MO. He's a good administrator as he was in Iowa.
villager
(26,001 posts)No Vilsack, please.
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)He's done a good job working with farmers of the United States. Monsanto is a stupid company, but it seems like Agriculture Secretaries love there.
villager
(26,001 posts)ram2008
(1,238 posts)Or Julian Castro if Rubio is the nominee. Although I don't think he has enough experience.
elleng
(130,956 posts)Their approaches to Wall Street are so similar? and War?
ram2008
(1,238 posts)He complements Hillary's weaknesses.
HRC not personable, O'Malley is
HRC a little too cozy with Wall Street, O'Malley is not
HRC too hawkish, O'malley a little more dovish
HRC is an insider? O'Malley an outsider
Also O'Malley is not someone who would go off script, has executive experience, and isn't too far out the mainstream that he's not electable. He checks off all the boxes, and I can't think of anyone else who does the same.
elleng
(130,956 posts)She's not just 'a little too cozy with Wall street,' imo, but hugely and irretrievably so, which will color all her decisions, and affect the well-being of the U.S. for a LONG time. This is my #1 reason for NOT supporting her and for supporting him; his valuable executive experience is my reason for supporting him rather than Bernie.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)WTF are you reading that tells you that? Why do you think you she has such high polling all this time? GMAFB
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Her lowest numbers are her trustworthiness and 'caring about people like us'-- those are indicators of personalibility.
She's leading because she's been running for years, has the entire democratic establishment behind her along with Wall Street, and has 100% name ID and is considered almost a historical figure with women.
Also her best traits (in polling) are her strength, ability to lead, and to get things done. Doesn't mean she's personable though.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)that you are wrong...
There is NO WAY a woman who WASN'T "personable" would make it as far as she has....do you know how quickly women are labeled such things as "battle axes" at the first whiff of any thing less than "personable".
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Here's the evidence she's not personable-- aside from the fact that she has had to change her press strategy multiple times, and how her numbers go down everytime she's in the spotlight...
All these are from the most recent polls from each respective organization:
Quinnipiac Poll: Trump and Clinton have the worst scores among top candidates on honesty and caring:
Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 57 37 percent, and doesnt care about their needs and problems, voters say 52 45 percent.
Fox News Poll: Do you believe Hillary Clintons natural instincts lean toward telling the truth or toward
hiding the truth?
Telling the truth - 33% Hiding the truth - 58% (Dont know) 8
NBC/WSJ : Which of the following best describes the primary reason you would feel (optimistic and confident/satisfied and hopeful) if Hillary Clinton were elected president? (RANDOMIZE)+
Among Optimistic: Her experience: 59%, Her positions 18%, leadership 13%...personal qualities 2%
Which of the following best describes the primary reason you would feel (uncertain/pessimistic or worried) if Hillary Clinton were elected president? (RANDOMIZE)+
Among Uncertain/Pessimistic: Her positions 27%, her leadership 23%, personal qualities 21%
If she were personable, these numbers would not continue to go down the longer she's on the campaign trail. Roping off the press, not answering questions fully, etc is not an example of someone who is open and personable. Sorry.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)on God's green earth that a woman with as fine a career as Ms Clinton's would have made it this far with out being labeled a "B" or some such term for it if a woman is ever anything LESS than "personable"....thats what I KNOW!
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Great.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)ram2008
(1,238 posts)Does not qualify for the the reality of Presidential politics on a national level, or you know, actual DATA which says the opposite of what you claim.
Hillary is not personable, at least as perceived by the electorate at this point. That is the reality. That is what the data says. That is what the media says, and that is what the voters are saying.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)its just not YOUR reality....you were thankfully spared that one! If you are less than "personable" people find that a positive trait...its expected at times....but for women.....its a very different world.
Alfalfa
(161 posts)She's the wife of a former president. I'm sure that didn't hinder her career.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)We never had "personable" First Ladies before? Does that somehow exclude one?
Alfalfa
(161 posts)Her successful career, if you want to call it that, isn't proof of her personable personality. We've had personable First Ladies before, but we've also had ones that weren't.
VanillaRhapsody
(21,115 posts)who ever exhibits behavior less than "personable"is ridiculed mercilessly for it. Particularly THIS woman....who has been vetted and dragged over coals for the last 30 yrs! Trust me when I tell you there is NO WAY a less than "personable" woman could tolerate all she has and STILL come out smelling like a rose otherwise!
ram2008
(1,238 posts)She might very well be personable when she is at home, with her friends or family etc, just like Mitt Romney could've been. However, that does not mean that she is perceived that way by people who will be voting. Right now her "personability" is considered a weakness, and going back to my original point which has been derailed, O'Malley would be a good complement to that perceived weakness.
oasis
(49,388 posts)reach that kind of status being a potted plant.
ram2008
(1,238 posts)I think W was the very definition of a potted plant.
olddots
(10,237 posts)see I didn't say it .
nsd
(2,406 posts)NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Yes, he's a DINO, but he can deliver Virginia. For some reason, he barely won reelection over that sleaze Ed Gillespie.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)Last edited Sat Aug 1, 2015, 01:22 AM - Edit history (1)
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Castro brothers (Julian and Joaquin), Tim Kaine, Tom Vilsack, Martin O Malley, Martin Heinrich, Evan Bayh , Mark Warner, Timothy Roemer, Kirsten Gillibrand. NO Rahm Emanuel. NO Andrew Cuomo. NO Joe Manchin (nice guy, but I don't see him doing well in VP debate).
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Former Indiana congressman from 1991 to 2003. Was a member of the 9/11 commission, endorsed Barack Obama in 2008, was rumored to be on Obama's VP shortlist in 2008, he was confirmed as Ambassador to India in 2009 and served until 2011. With Midwestern appeal, Roemer can be a good dark horse choice.
Peregrine
(992 posts)shows the economy is important and he is awesome.
Charles de Gaudless
(102 posts)Cory Booker, stirred, not shaken.
hollowdweller
(4,229 posts)One reason that I voted Obama over Hillary was that in people in her age group, and slightly younger, all foreign policy is filtered thru the idea of the Cold War. A grand struggle of two powers against each other.
Even the younger republicans are like this because being angry against some enemy, whether Russia, or ISIS, or people less fortunate is part and parcel of their appeal.
However one thing that really appealed to me about Obama was his NOT operating out of the Cold War paradigm even though multiple groups have tried to get him to. He's even worked really hard to resist Putin, who operates and benefits politically from that idea from drawing him in.
I really think as long as we operate from that perspective we will be spending way too much on wars and the military, and way too little on the things we really need to beef up the infrastructure and society we need to hold our ground on the new economic war that's going on.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)Tim Kaine just sold us out voting for TPP so again, not my choice.
I see her picking Castro or O'Malley
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Hillary Clinton needs to win Iowa. I like Vilsack . He doesn't have any downsides. He brings the Midwest to Clinton.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)winter is coming
(11,785 posts)Why bother with pretense?
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Sunlei
(22,651 posts)position.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)lovemydog
(11,833 posts)Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Michelle Obama, Ronda Rousy, Zoe Saldana, Lana Del Ray, Ice Cube, Jack White, The Drive-By Truckers, Mo'Ne Davis, Alex Morgan, The guy who is paying employees a minimum of 60k per year, Susan Rice.
nsd
(2,406 posts)By then, she won't have to worry about the liberal/activist base.
The base may love Warren and Sanders, but neither person is likely to be an asset as Clinton faces the general electorate.
O'Malley is plausible only if he shows up well in Iowa/New Hampshire. Nobody else is plausible (not Booker, Castro, Lee, or the other names you put on there for some reason).
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)I was just picking people I like. As I got going it got more funny to me.
NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)Could help with Pennsylvania, Ohio. He has legislative skills.
oasis
(49,388 posts)O'Malley would be a fine veep. If not him, former LA mayor Villaraigosa.
marmar
(77,081 posts)NYCButterfinger
(755 posts)If she wants an economic VP, pick a young professor from Harvard.