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dsc

(52,162 posts)
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 10:47 PM Jul 2015

Here is my big electability problem with Sanders

his name is Russ Feingold. Russ Feingold was US Senator from Wisconsin until he lost to Ron Johnson. Now Ron Johnson was a horrible candidate. He said crazy things. And yes 2010 was, in general, a bad year. But we had one bright spot in that bad year. Incumbent US Senators. Only two lost in the general election and three total. Elected, appointed, didn't matter. They did fairly well. Arlen Specter lost in the primary to Joe Sestak. Sestak lost in the general. Blanche Lincoln lost in Arkansas, a state we have won only one state wide race in, during the Obama era and where we lost all but one Congressional race in the same time (out of 16). And we lost Feingold in Wisconsin. Senators considered in way worse trouble, with way worse negatives such as Reid and Bennet won, Feingold lost, and it wasn't even close. He lost by 5. Walker won an open seat governorship by about the same amount. In comparison Corbett won his governorship by 10 while Sestak lost by only 2.

So just how did this happen. Simple. Feingold refused to let outside money be spent on him and he was massacred by ads. This was a popular, incumbent Senator running against the third worst candidate the Republicans fielded. O'Donnel and Angle were worse but that is it and they were both Godsends. I can't fathom how the same thing wouldn't happen to Sanders against pretty much any of the Republicans. Add in the fact he opposed immigration reform in 2007 and have the nominee of the GOP be either Bush or Perry and it could be a wipe out of major proportions. Feingold tried it Bernie's way. He got killed. One last thing. Warren got 54% of the vote in MA. Obama 61%. If the theory of most of Bernie's supporters were correct she should have out polled Obama, not the other way around.

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Here is my big electability problem with Sanders (Original Post) dsc Jul 2015 OP
Not sure it's quite that simple....Here in Wisconsin 2010 was a bloodbath in general and... yourout Jul 2015 #1
He did no better than a candidate in an open seat did in WI dsc Jul 2015 #3
This was an off-year election virtualobserver Jul 2015 #21
Scott Walker was not running for reelection in 2010 dsc Jul 2015 #23
my mistake, but 2010 was a "backlash" year, the rise of the tea party virtualobserver Jul 2015 #32
Johnson was about as bad as them dsc Jul 2015 #36
Feingold had plenty of money virtualobserver Jul 2015 #44
his money alone was more than Johnson's alone dsc Jul 2015 #46
I just don't buy that it was about money virtualobserver Jul 2015 #53
Exactly. The huge outside money is where Republicans kill Dems. nt. SunSeeker Jul 2015 #62
+1000 BooScout Jul 2015 #89
The fact that it wasn't a presidential election year is big mythology Jul 2015 #71
by the time we get to the Wisconsin primary virtualobserver Jul 2015 #73
I love Russ dearly, but the truth is that he is a better legislator than he is a campaigner. Ed Suspicious Jul 2015 #35
He may well be a less than ideal campaigner dsc Jul 2015 #37
100,000+ people will attend Organizing Meetings on July 29th Cosmic Kitten Jul 2015 #2
You can donate to Bernie's campaign here. Luminous Animal Jul 2015 #4
why should I if he won't raise the money needed to win? dsc Jul 2015 #6
If you don't donate, how can he raise the money? Luminous Animal Jul 2015 #8
no primary giving for me this cycle dsc Jul 2015 #10
Okay. Then how about showing up for his volunteer rally that already 100,000 people attending. Luminous Animal Jul 2015 #13
This kind of cynicism is extraordinary ... Trajan Jul 2015 #31
I am by no means a hard core Hillary supporter dsc Jul 2015 #33
Maybe the Magic Unicorn ... Trajan Jul 2015 #40
It was a Senate election dsc Jul 2015 #45
Good point, Warren spent $42 million and won, if Russ Feingold tried to run a low money campaign and Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #5
warren did someting major league smart dsc Jul 2015 #7
Yes, you can run a campaign smart or run one poorly and lose. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #9
No GOP candidate will agree to what Brown agreed to dsc Jul 2015 #11
!00,000+ boots ready to run tomorrow. Luminous Animal Jul 2015 #26
Yep, you can, and you can also loose running a campaign with out enough funds to have ads, etc. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #41
She was also happy to take cash from 1%ers... brooklynite Jul 2015 #27
The 1% is not the problem, the probem is with those who have problems with the 1%. The 1% can Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #42
Again: reducing it all to $$$, because reducing it all to $$$ is the only argument HRC is capable of delrem Jul 2015 #12
actually it isn't only money dsc Jul 2015 #14
No. I don't think the Republicans can put together a "pro-immigration platform" delrem Jul 2015 #15
They won't have to if we run a candidate who opposed reform himself dsc Jul 2015 #17
Now you're avoiding the actual theme of your OP: $$$ is everything. delrem Jul 2015 #19
No if actually bothered to read the OP you will note I also mentioned his immigration position in it dsc Jul 2015 #20
"how did this happen. Simple. Feingold refused to let outside money be spent on him" delrem Jul 2015 #22
Yes, money is why Feingold lost dsc Jul 2015 #24
I edited to add to the post you're responding to. Bye. delrem Jul 2015 #25
He opposes employer exploitation of immigrants at the expense of domestic workers Armstead Jul 2015 #29
Let them spend ALL their hateful greedy million$ kenn3d Jul 2015 #16
Feingold didn't burn his cash in the yard dsc Jul 2015 #18
Then I don't understand most of those talking and complaning about the $$$ is not Hillary. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #43
Golly, I don't know! Perhaps she's been raking it in? Could that be it? delrem Jul 2015 #48
Hillary may be "raking it in", mostly all mention of this is not coming from Hillary. Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #50
Well, Hillary is smiling. And so are you. So what's your point? delrem Jul 2015 #57
The point is the talking point about "raking it in" is not Hillary's talking point, it Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #67
McGovernment AgingAmerican Jul 2015 #28
So the only viable candidates are Slaves to the Oligarchs? Armstead Jul 2015 #30
With SuperPACs, Bernie has no choice. mwooldri Jul 2015 #34
The internet will have more influence than TV Ads in a presidential election fbc Jul 2015 #38
even internet ads cost money dsc Jul 2015 #39
I'm not talking about Ads fbc Jul 2015 #47
Oh holy shit, that Fury Road gif... Scootaloo Jul 2015 #59
Bad. Ass. frylock Jul 2015 #74
And internet ads appeal to the demographic least likely to vote. nt SunSeeker Jul 2015 #63
The essential fallacy here .. Trajan Jul 2015 #49
yeah it has been vastly easier for us to win state wide elections for federal office in Wisconsin dsc Jul 2015 #52
Because a state election in an off-year is p.much the same thing as a presidential election fbc Jul 2015 #51
again Wisconsin we 15 wins and 1 loss since 86 dsc Jul 2015 #55
Is that what your problem is with Bernie? Le Taz Hot Jul 2015 #54
guns immigration and can't win dsc Jul 2015 #56
Ironically, two issues you/yours have criticized him for, guns and immigration, AtomicKitten Jul 2015 #76
Super PACS are spending money on Bernie BainsBane Jul 2015 #58
Wisconsin also elected Walker, three times. Wisconsin does not necessarily extrapolate to other sta still_one Jul 2015 #60
If Sanders can't win states that have elected Republican governors than he will lose in a land slide dsc Jul 2015 #68
I wondered why Feingold lost. That explains it. SunSeeker Jul 2015 #61
What kind of direct voter outreach did Feingold do? eridani Jul 2015 #64
Looks to me like you were not going to support Bernie anyway, and that your concerns won't have any djean111 Jul 2015 #65
The reality of the situation is.... BooScout Jul 2015 #66
Feingold was on LWolf Jul 2015 #69
Knife to a Gun Fight Gothmog Jul 2015 #70
"Therefore we must instead support corporate-sponsored Candidate A, who will help us bridge the antigop Jul 2015 #82
If you want to win the election, you got to be competive in fundraising Gothmog Jul 2015 #85
add +1 to the "Bernie is unelectable" meme counter. nt antigop Jul 2015 #86
" "Therefore we must instead support corporate-sponsored Candidate A, who will help us bridge the antigop Jul 2015 #87
Is there a difference between right or wrong? Or is it a game of labels? mmonk Jul 2015 #72
like the label Democratic Supreme Court justice vs Republican Supreme Court justice dsc Jul 2015 #75
I like this answer to that dilemma: LWolf Jul 2015 #77
Bernie outpolled Obama in Vermont big time. Admiral Loinpresser Jul 2015 #78
So, essentially, you're saying that we should support a mediocre candidate Maedhros Jul 2015 #79
post #82. Taibbi nails it. nt antigop Jul 2015 #83
It appears that Bernie is opting for the 1992 Jerry Brown Campaign Strategy ... 1StrongBlackMan Jul 2015 #80
I supported Harkin. My track record in primaries is not very good. KittyWampus Jul 2015 #84
It's our choice, isn't it? LiberalAndProud Jul 2015 #81
Y'all shoukld get your attacks straight. There's anotehr thread attacking him for raising money Armstead Jul 2015 #88
Money is a concern, but the big problem with Sanders is that the anti-Sanders ads write themselves Persondem Jul 2015 #90

yourout

(7,531 posts)
1. Not sure it's quite that simple....Here in Wisconsin 2010 was a bloodbath in general and...
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 10:52 PM
Jul 2015

I am not sure any amount of money would have saved Russ.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
3. He did no better than a candidate in an open seat did in WI
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 10:56 PM
Jul 2015

despite running against a way worse candidate and being an incumbent. Sestak, whose campaign was considered so bad that 6 years later national Democrats are wishing for anyone else to run only lost by 2 to a much better candidate. Feingold's strategy certainly is why he lost by 5 and was likely why he lost period.

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
21. This was an off-year election
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:33 PM
Jul 2015

and Scott Walker was running for re-election

in Prez elections about 3 million vote statewide

off yr elections about 2.2 million vote

if Wis. Gov races were not offset from Presidential yrs , Scott Walker would never have been Governor.

In order for Bernie to win, his grass roots strategy will have to work. Time will tell.




dsc

(52,162 posts)
23. Scott Walker was not running for reelection in 2010
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:39 PM
Jul 2015

he was running for election. Feingold was running for reelection. Yes, it was an off year election, but it was equally an off year election everywhere else. And he was one of only three incumbent Senators to lose his election that year. Reid won, Bennet won. Sestak nearly won. Feingold lost by 5.

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
32. my mistake, but 2010 was a "backlash" year, the rise of the tea party
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:04 AM
Jul 2015

if Sharron Angle wasn't batshit crazy, she would have beaten Reid.
Chris Coons would have lost in Delaware if he hadn't been running against someone who wasn't a witch.

I don't think that you can compare 2010 to 2016.

I don't think that you can really compare Feingold to Bernie Sanders.

Whatever the ultimate outcome here, Bernie is running a different kind of campaign.


dsc

(52,162 posts)
36. Johnson was about as bad as them
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:12 AM
Jul 2015

and worse than Buck, who Bennett beat. The simple fact is Feingold should have won that race. Boxer won, Bennett won, Sestek nearly won, Feingold vastly underperformed by any reasonable measure. Remember Reid not only beat the horrible Angle but managed to get 50% of the vote despite none of the above being an option.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
46. his money alone was more than Johnson's alone
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:33 AM
Jul 2015

but the outside money was very against him and made up the difference and then some.

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
53. I just don't buy that it was about money
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:45 AM
Jul 2015

not with a three term Senator.

Wisconsin is a strange place. Joseph McCarthy.... William Proxmire....Scott Walker.....

I just don't think that you can't draw too many conclusions from that one election.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
71. The fact that it wasn't a presidential election year is big
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 02:32 PM
Jul 2015

The electorate is both smaller and whiter in those elections.

I think if Sanders can win the primary he would have a legitimate shot at the general even if he would be an underdog against most likely potential opponents given the money advantage they will have.

But I don't see how he gets the primary election given he can't reproduce the Obama coalition. There isn't a majority of primary voters that doesn't include winning either black or Hispanic voters which Sanders thus far hasn't done.

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
73. by the time we get to the Wisconsin primary
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 02:48 PM
Jul 2015

we will be living in an entirely different universe.

We will certainly know if his grass roots strategy has worked or not. I do not think that we can even imagine all of the twists and turns that this election will take.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
37. He may well be a less than ideal campaigner
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:15 AM
Jul 2015

but he is far from the only such animal and Johnson is truly horrible both at campaigning and with his positions and he managed to beat Feingold by 5.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
6. why should I if he won't raise the money needed to win?
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:03 PM
Jul 2015

I have a governor here to get rid of, whose opponent will get money from me. I also have a state legislature to at least get down to not being veto proof that will be getting money from me. I won't be giving any money during the primary given that I need to save money to give to my state Democrats. If we can't unseat McCrory here I don't see NC remaining a viable place to live.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
10. no primary giving for me this cycle
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:10 PM
Jul 2015

I am not wealthy by any means and must spend my limited resources where they will do the most good. Cooper will get money from me as will Democrats running against vulnerable Republicans in my state House or state Senate whichever looks easier to get down to below 60% GOP (our veto line). I am a gay teacher in a state that is now ruled by a Tea Party legislature that is decimating our education system. That is my job one. If I have any money left I will give some to our nominee for President.

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
31. This kind of cynicism is extraordinary ...
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:03 AM
Jul 2015

knowing you are a hardcore Hillary supporter, one might question whether your concerns are legitimate, or just political posturing on behalf of your own choice ....

I'll give your sincerity the benefit of the doubt : Bernie CAN and WILL win because people are tired of it ..

TIRED of the loss of jobs ....

TIRED of the low wages ...

TIRED of the threats to Social Security and Medicare ...

TIRED of school debt and endless wars .... Many veterans are certainly singing Bernie's praises, and for good reason, which you know good and well is true ... Bernie is a no bullshit feller ... straight up and pragmatic, and everybody knows that ...

Hillary isn't going to cut it .... People are tired of losing, and they wanna win for a change ...

Bernie should be just the first step .... in fact, we should be working toward finding similarly 'Democratic Socialistic' minded Representatives and Senators to run against the GOP and Moderate Dems, and, hopefully get caught up in the Bernie wave ... Turning the Congress should absolutely be our goal, and in all 50 states !

You can pretend that is not real .... kinda like unskewing a poll, but we know what happened with that ... I am prepared to give Bernie far more money than I ever have another candidate .. The stakes are that high ...

(Yes, I know Hillary is leading in current polls, but I think Bernie is going from zero to winner in the timeframe of one election ...)

Look ... We have the energy and the momentum ... Bernie is on a rocket right now ... Let's see how it plays out ...

That is the reality of it anyways - It will play out, and I suppose we will pick up the pieces and, in my case, vote for the Democratic Party Nominee ....

I am done being outraged ... I am determined ... WE are determined ...

I will put some money in Bernie's coffers for you .... You can pay me back later .... He certainly needs us ...

dsc

(52,162 posts)
33. I am by no means a hard core Hillary supporter
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:07 AM
Jul 2015

O'Malley would be a strong consideration for me if he is still viable on Super Tuesday. Is there anything on that list that Feingold wasn't for, I don't think so. He got killed. I have yet to see any discussion other than magical unicorn thinking as to just how Sanders would win.

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
40. Maybe the Magic Unicorn ...
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:20 AM
Jul 2015

Is in your unfair comparison of a gubernatorial contest in a moderate state to the Presidential Election of our lifetimes ....

It is an unfair and unlikely analogy ... WAY more focus on this election ....

I think dems can (and will) sweep the demoralized GOP out of the majorities, if Bernie brings people BACK to the polls after ignoring them for so long ....

I get why Bernie is so popular ... People believe him ... Moderates AND Liberals believe him ... They know he cares for veterans more than ANY Republican has ever done .. They know it's true ... Getting vets on your side, against the GOP ... This is an extraordinary development. ....

Republicans like him ... certainly not because of his platform .. but because he is honest and sincere ...

I'm tellin ya .... Bernie is going to shake up election history ...

If he doesn't, I'm going to vote Democratic, then tend to my garden ...

dsc

(52,162 posts)
45. It was a Senate election
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:28 AM
Jul 2015

not a goventorial one and it featured an incumbent with the name recognition that comes with that. Republicans liked Feingold he was honest and sincere. Heck he even voted against the Patriot Act, only one in the Senate to do so. And down in flames he went. Other than Feingold we have won every federal state wide election in Wisconsin since 1986 when Senator Kasten was reelected. That is 8 Senate elections (three won by Feingold) and 8 Presidential elections. So we are 16 wins and 1 loss. Not a moderate state by any means at the federal level.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
5. Good point, Warren spent $42 million and won, if Russ Feingold tried to run a low money campaign and
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:00 PM
Jul 2015

big dollars came out against him with ads, etc it is a telling outcome. Kerry had swift boat ads against him, it takes money to run ads or counter ads. I got the picture.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
7. warren did someting major league smart
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:04 PM
Jul 2015

the best move of hers or any campaign. She got Brown to agree to no outside spending with a viable enforcement mechanism. It was brilliant on her part and likely was why she won. It is certainly why she won by the amount she did.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
11. No GOP candidate will agree to what Brown agreed to
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:11 PM
Jul 2015

even he refused to do the same thing in his New Hampshire race.

Luminous Animal

(27,310 posts)
26. !00,000+ boots ready to run tomorrow.
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:47 PM
Jul 2015

Ready to register voters, ready to engage with voters, ready to recruit their civil servant bother and sisters, ready to recruit their retired bothers and sisters, ready to recruit their farmer bothers and sisters, ready to recruit their hipster bothers and sisters (yes hipster… I've been to two meet ups in SF that had amazing interaction with San Francisco hipsters and wizened dock worker union members).

You can run a campaign with an entrance fee of $1000-$2700. And you can run a campaign with a self-selected audience that you have pre-determined will listen to you.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
41. Yep, you can, and you can also loose running a campaign with out enough funds to have ads, etc.
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:21 AM
Jul 2015

That audience has to have enough votes in it to win the election. Does not matter about the size of the audience, it is the votes.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
42. The 1% is not the problem, the probem is with those who have problems with the 1%. The 1% can
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:23 AM
Jul 2015

handle whatever they need. If they care to donate money well good. Does not make them bad, huh.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
12. Again: reducing it all to $$$, because reducing it all to $$$ is the only argument HRC is capable of
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:14 PM
Jul 2015

My lord, you guys have to do better than that in order to win people to your cause, whatever the hell your cause is, lost as it is under all those piles of cold hard cash.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
14. actually it isn't only money
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:23 PM
Jul 2015

His position on immigration, at least in 2007, is actually worse than Jeb or Perry's in terms of what Hispanics want to see happen. While I don't see Perry winning the nomination I certainly could see Jeb doing so. All the GOP needs is around 40% of the Hispanic vote to win and I don't see a man who opposed Immigration reform in 2007 getting 60+% of the vote against a man who speaks fluent Spanish (Jeb or Rubio) and has a Mexican wife. But yes, money matters. Just ask Senator Feingold, no wait I mean former Senator Feingold.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
15. No. I don't think the Republicans can put together a "pro-immigration platform"
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:25 PM
Jul 2015

But thanks for the laugh.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
17. They won't have to if we run a candidate who opposed reform himself
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:29 PM
Jul 2015

Now if they run an anti Immigration candidate such as Walker then Sanders might be able to get to the over 60% but if they run Jeb and we run him, Sanders might win the Hispanic vote on other issues but he won't win it by as much as he will need to win it by to win the election as a whole.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
19. Now you're avoiding the actual theme of your OP: $$$ is everything.
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:30 PM
Jul 2015

eta: do you understand what I mean?
I think a debate over immigration law between Democratic party candidates is 100% valid and on topic.
But your OP didn't speak about issues AT ALL, in fact it put actual issues in the back seat as against the driving force of $$$.
Even at that, you don't address the implications of your belief, that $$$ trumps (haha) everything and that issues don't matter.
Your OP is a capitulation to an out of control $$$ driver, nothing more.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
20. No if actually bothered to read the OP you will note I also mentioned his immigration position in it
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:32 PM
Jul 2015

apparently you couldn't be bothered to actually read what you commented on.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
22. "how did this happen. Simple. Feingold refused to let outside money be spent on him"
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:39 PM
Jul 2015

You tacked on an issue that the Republican party DOESN'T GIVE A SHIT ABOUT, as if it bolstered your purely $$$ case - after making the case using two examples having nothing whatever to do with the issue that you tacked on.

You have to put together a coherent argument.

eta: whenever I hear the phrase "the most electable candidate" I think how similar all down the line it is to the absurd "the most eligible bachelor".
It's just too ridiculous to engage with, and I've engaged with it more than enough.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
24. Yes, money is why Feingold lost
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:42 PM
Jul 2015

but Immigration is also a problem for Bernie. I will admit, that even if his position on Immigration in 2007 were the other way I would still be concerned about the money issue. But conversely, I would also have a problem with his Immigration position even if he were more willing to raise money.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
29. He opposes employer exploitation of immigrants at the expense of domestic workers
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:55 PM
Jul 2015

Not a party line pisition,m but read his reasoning to at least understand it

kenn3d

(486 posts)
16. Let them spend ALL their hateful greedy million$
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:27 PM
Jul 2015

Bernie knows they will attack him and he will spend this little righteous cash we give him wisely.

I quote him again now: "Don't underestimate me"

More and more and day by day, he has the people of this country behind him.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
18. Feingold didn't burn his cash in the yard
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:30 PM
Jul 2015

and he was an incumbent. Yet he lost and lost badly. I have yet to hear any acknowledgement of that outcome.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
43. Then I don't understand most of those talking and complaning about the $$$ is not Hillary.
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:25 AM
Jul 2015

Where has she been about the $$$?

delrem

(9,688 posts)
57. Well, Hillary is smiling. And so are you. So what's your point?
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:50 AM
Jul 2015

That your smile makes everything fine?

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
67. The point is the talking point about "raking it in" is not Hillary's talking point, it
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 08:23 AM
Jul 2015

Belongs to others.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
28. McGovernment
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:53 PM
Jul 2015

Is what bought politicians get you.

Bernie is none of those people. The time is right.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
30. So the only viable candidates are Slaves to the Oligarchs?
Tue Jul 28, 2015, 11:58 PM
Jul 2015

Okay. Great way to peroetuate thev mess we're in, and make it worse.
.

mwooldri

(10,303 posts)
34. With SuperPACs, Bernie has no choice.
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:08 AM
Jul 2015

If a bunch of billionaires want to spend a ton of money on political advertising in support of Bernie, Bernie can't say no. Or yes for that matter. If outside money wants to get involved it will find a way.

 

fbc

(1,668 posts)
38. The internet will have more influence than TV Ads in a presidential election
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:17 AM
Jul 2015

Get used to it, that's the way it's going to be from now on.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
39. even internet ads cost money
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:19 AM
Jul 2015

and last I checked the internet was up and running in 2010 and still Feingold went down in flames.

 

fbc

(1,668 posts)
47. I'm not talking about Ads
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:35 AM
Jul 2015

Bernie doesn't need internet Ads. He's already got the populations of major forums behind him, photoshopping viral ads that cost his campaign nothing and distributing them through social media.

Hell, I've seen people hyping him in "all" chat in the videogame I play.

Hillary can buy all the banners she wants on CNN.com and the Huffington Post, it can't compete with stuff like this:

[img][/img]

[img][/img]

[img][/img]

[img][/img]

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
49. The essential fallacy here ..
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:39 AM
Jul 2015

Is your comparison of the Feingold loss of a Senate race to the future election of a United States President ... The two elections are not comparable ... Any argument based on this idea isn't well founded ... Any conclusion based on this idea isn't well founded ...

Good luck ....

dsc

(52,162 posts)
52. yeah it has been vastly easier for us to win state wide elections for federal office in Wisconsin
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:45 AM
Jul 2015

There have been 7 Presidential elections 88-12 we are 4-3 nationally in that time. We are 7 for 7 in Wisconsin. Since 1986 there have been 9 Senate elections, we are 8 wins 1 loss. That makes us 15 to 1 over that time in terms of Wisconsin. That 1 loss was Feingold's reelection effort in 2010.

 

fbc

(1,668 posts)
51. Because a state election in an off-year is p.much the same thing as a presidential election
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:42 AM
Jul 2015

Welp, better pack it up Sanderistas, you can't beat that logic.

dsc

(52,162 posts)
55. again Wisconsin we 15 wins and 1 loss since 86
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 12:48 AM
Jul 2015

Presidential we are 4 wins and 3 losses nationally. We won off year Senate elections in Wisconsin in 94, 98, 06.

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
76. Ironically, two issues you/yours have criticized him for, guns and immigration,
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 03:11 PM
Jul 2015

- although the criticism is usually framed in hyperbolic half-truths - will actually HELP Bernie. His discussion of these issues is sane and reasonable and, well, you aren't hearing that. Suffice to say it makes his appeal much broader than you can even imagine.

Bernie CAN win. In fact, he's got a better shot at the title than Hillary whose GE run would be like shooting fish in a barrel. She requires a fleet of buses for her baggage and no good explanation for her dodgy behavior at State. It's clear you/yours think she's going to slide into the WH on a tidal wave of clash. Bernie supporters believe that's obsolete CW and are setting out to prove that with a social media/people-powered campaign.

See you at the ballot box.

still_one

(92,219 posts)
60. Wisconsin also elected Walker, three times. Wisconsin does not necessarily extrapolate to other sta
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 01:14 AM
Jul 2015

dsc

(52,162 posts)
68. If Sanders can't win states that have elected Republican governors than he will lose in a land slide
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 09:36 AM
Jul 2015

He won't win Illinois, Maine, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Maryland, North Carolina, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan. all of which were won by Obama.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
64. What kind of direct voter outreach did Feingold do?
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 02:52 AM
Jul 2015

How many people were phoning and knocking doors on his behalf?

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
65. Looks to me like you were not going to support Bernie anyway, and that your concerns won't have any
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 05:54 AM
Jul 2015

effect on Bernie's supporters. So - it's all good and settled.
Oh, and Bernie is doing quite well on a millennial-type site like Reddit - almost 70,000 subscribers to his subreddit, really really well organized, and Hillary's subreddit is in the hundreds. Those folks don't watch TV ads. And they consider Hillary business as has been usual. I doubt money can change that. They also are not buying in to the two different teams thing, either, they see enough Dems voting like Rs.

Some of the old stuff is just not going to work this time.

BooScout

(10,406 posts)
66. The reality of the situation is....
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 06:24 AM
Jul 2015

As our system now stands, it takes a lot of boatloads of money to win the Presidency. It's great to try and take a stand and say you won't take money from the big donors....BUT, it is political suicide at this level. You would be decimated by advertising and sound bites from the opposition. Obama raised $750 million dollars for the 2008 election. He got that from a record number of small AND large donors.

You may not like that our system is the way it is. You may consider the amount of money spent to be obscene. But gambling that it's a good thing not to have as much money or more at your disposal than your opponent will get you nowhere fast.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
69. Feingold was on
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 10:22 AM
Jul 2015

my short list of people I hoped would run in the Democratic primaries. Instead, he's running to take his Senate spot back, and I fully support him in that effort.

I think he'll be successful, and I think Sanders will be, as well.

Gothmog

(145,321 posts)
70. Knife to a Gun Fight
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 02:17 PM
Jul 2015

Some candidates are better able to raise the funds necessary to complete. President Obama blew everyone away in 2008 with his small donor fundraising efforts and that made it clear that he was electable. Jeb is trying to do the same on the GOP side with his $100 million super pac.

There are many on this board who doubt that Sanders will be able to compete in a general election contest where the Kochs will be spending $887 million and the RNC candidate will likely spend another billion. This article had a very interesting quote about the role of super pacs in the upcoming election http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/jul/03/bernie-sanders-grassroots-movement-gains-clinton-machine

Harvard University professor Lawrence Lessig, who founded a Super Pac to end Super Pacs, said Sanders’ renouncing Super Pacs is tantamount to “bringing a knife to a gunfight”.

“I regret the fact the Bernie Sanders has embraced the idea that he’s going to live life like the Vermont snow, as pure as he possibly can, while he runs for president, because it weakens his chances – and he’s an enormously important progressive voice,” Lessig said.

President Obama was against super pacs in 2012 but had to use one to keep the race close. I do not like super pacs but any Democratic candidate who wants to be viable has to use a super pac, The super pacs associated with Clinton raised $24 million and so Clinton raised $70 this quarter.

antigop

(12,778 posts)
82. "Therefore we must instead support corporate-sponsored Candidate A, who will help us bridge the
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 05:28 PM
Jul 2015

fundraising gap with the evil Republicans... "

Yep. I'm gonna post this whenever I can.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=479290

So predictable.

Gothmog

(145,321 posts)
85. If you want to win the election, you got to be competive in fundraising
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 06:16 PM
Jul 2015

Sanders does not appear to be viable in a general election campaign where the Kochs will be spending $887 millon and the GOP nominee will likely be spending another billion dollars.

Obama did not like super pacs but he had to use a super pac in 2012 to keep the race close. The alternative is another 1972 race where the GOP will carry all but one state

antigop

(12,778 posts)
87. " "Therefore we must instead support corporate-sponsored Candidate A, who will help us bridge the
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 06:32 PM
Jul 2015

"Therefore we must instead support corporate-sponsored Candidate A, who will help us bridge the

fundraising gap with the evil Republicans... "

Same old, same old.

And we get the same old corporate takeover.

mmonk

(52,589 posts)
72. Is there a difference between right or wrong? Or is it a game of labels?
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 02:36 PM
Jul 2015

How committed are you to either?

dsc

(52,162 posts)
75. like the label Democratic Supreme Court justice vs Republican Supreme Court justice
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 02:58 PM
Jul 2015

yea pretty big diffence if you care about minorities voting, women getting medical care, gays getting marriage rights and a whole host of other issues. Of course, if you don't then maybe there isn't a real big difference.

Admiral Loinpresser

(3,859 posts)
78. Bernie outpolled Obama in Vermont big time.
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 03:18 PM
Jul 2015

Not just among Dems, but also independents, Republicans and self-described conservatives. So, I can't agree with your analysis on Warren.

As to the issue of dark money, Bernie can't campaign against the devil while he is in bed with him, as all other candidates on both sides are (or wannabe). That will not prevent George Soros and others from using dark money on Bernie's behalf if he is the nominee. Also, the new media/netroots/grassroots dynamic will be unlike anything seen before if he is the nominee.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/128021446

 

Maedhros

(10,007 posts)
79. So, essentially, you're saying that we should support a mediocre candidate
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 03:25 PM
Jul 2015

solely for the reason that she has amassed a huge war chest.

We claim to abhor Citizens United, yet we give in to it.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
80. It appears that Bernie is opting for the 1992 Jerry Brown Campaign Strategy ...
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 03:26 PM
Jul 2015
Brown's ultra-grassroots campaign strategy included the promise he would only accept individual campaign contributions of $100 or less - the likes of which would not be seen within the Democratic Party until the early days of Governor of Vermont Howard Dean's ultimately unsuccessful presidential bid. He made a number of populist-based promises, such as calls for term limits for members of Congress, living wage laws and opposition to free-trade agreements such as NAFTA. Brown joined with economist and former Reagan adviser Arthur Laffer in drafting his tax proposal, which called for the replacement of the progressive income tax with a flat tax and a value added tax, both at a fixed rate of thirteen percent. Despite criticism from his opponents that his policy was regressive, it received the endorsement of major media outlets such as The New York Times, The New Republic, and Forbes.

Democratic Primary Results: Blue denotes a Clinton win, yellow a Brown win, green a Tsongas win, orange a Kerrey win, and purple a Harkin win
Faced with a relatively shoe-string campaign budget, Brown bucked conventional advertising practices, choosing instead to use an unusual fundraising techniques, such as a toll-free telephone number that adorned all of his campaign material, and a mixture of alternative media that included cable and radio interviews being used in lieu of traditional television commercials in order to get his message out to voters.

In spite of poor showings in the Iowa caucus, in which he received a mere 1.6 percent of the vote, and the New Hampshire primary, which secured him only eight percent, Brown was soon able to manage narrow victories in Maine, Colorado, Nevada, Alaska, and Vermont. Nonetheless, he continued to be considered a long shot for much of the campaign. It was not until shortly after Super Tuesday, when the Democratic primary field had been narrowed to Brown, former Senator Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts, and frontrunner Governor Bill Clinton, that Brown began to emerge as a serious contender in the eyes of the mainstream media.

http://ballotpedia.org/Jerry_Brown#1992



LiberalAndProud

(12,799 posts)
81. It's our choice, isn't it?
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 03:35 PM
Jul 2015

We can all buckle under the weight of the money onslaught, or we can vote for the candidate who shuns it. If money decides the next election, hello President Walker and fuck Wisconsin and the fraudulent voting machine that placed him and kept him in office.

I believe our choice is clear, reject money politics or embrace it. The middle ground is democratic (lowercase d) suicide.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
88. Y'all shoukld get your attacks straight. There's anotehr thread attacking him for raising money
Wed Jul 29, 2015, 06:50 PM
Jul 2015
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251480965


nd my own response there:
So if Bernie gets realistic about the need to raise money, he's a hypocrite.

If he avoids any campaign contribution over $5, he's called an unrealistic ideologue who doesn't understand the political system.

Personally I'm totally comfortable with Bernie getting some donors with big bucks funding his campaign, or running Pacs. I'm also totally comfortable -- in concept -- with Hillary doing the same thing.

The issue is one of scale, focus and nature of the backers, and what they expect in return.

I feel a lot more comfortable with Ben and Jerry or some wealthy movie star contributing to his campaign because they believe in what he stands for. I feel a lot more nervous about Hillary going to the bigwigs at Goldman Sachs and other corrupt oligarchs and raising really big bucks in exchange for God-Knows-What atrocities they are looking for.

Persondem

(1,936 posts)
90. Money is a concern, but the big problem with Sanders is that the anti-Sanders ads write themselves
Fri Jul 31, 2015, 09:45 AM
Jul 2015

The ad would run something like this ...

Pictures of Marx, Lenin and Mao scroll across the screen with some of their socialist positions being stated or written on screen. The pictures scroll past with a picture of Bernie at the end. The Soviet anthem plays in the background as Bernie's "socialist" voting record is revealed along with his confirmatory statements of being a democratic socialist and his early membership in the Liberty Union Party.

It would be as effective as the Daisy ads from '64.

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