2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN Poll -HRC 51% Bush lll 46%/HRC 57% -The Don 38%/HRC 54% -Scott "Prominent Bald Spot" Walker 43%
Hillary Clinton's favorability is 44% as opposed to 49% unfavorable, only 1% of voters and 0% of Democrats answered that they have never heard of her. She leads Jeb Bush 51-46, Donald Trump 57-38, and Scott Walker 54-43 in general election matchups. Her strongest groups in the Democratic primary are women (67%), seniors, (67%), and non-whites (62%).
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/2179399-cnn-orc-poll-2016-election-9-a-m-july-26-2015.html
riversedge
(70,273 posts)Description
Donald Trump and Jeb Bush run about even at the top of the GOP field (18% and 15% respectively among GOP and GOP-leaning registered voters).
Original Document (PDF) »
Contributed by: Alysha Love, CNN
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Bush lll is the most likely choice but Walker might be the consensus candidate as he has one foot in the GOP "mainstream" and one foot in the crazies wing. If we are lucky he might be the GOP unity candidate because he is not loathed by either wing.
You can game this out forever...A Bush lll nomination makes a Trump third party run more likely.
OKNancy
(41,832 posts)July 26 CNN National Clinton +37
July 26 Marist - Iowa Clinton +24
July 26 Marist - NH Clinton +10
July 24 Mason-Dixon Florida Clinton +41
July 23 PPP - National Clinton +35
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)In the general she will be running either against a guy who had a private server of his own-Bush lll, or a guy who used a party credit card to pay for home repairs-Rubio, or a garden variety moron- Walker...
OKNancy
(41,832 posts)But I really think her unfavorables will go down once the appearance start and the ads start.
She is being pounded by the right and the left and the media is playing by the Clinton rules.
http://www.vox.com/2015/7/6/8900143/hillary-clinton-reporting-rules
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)eom
sadoldgirl
(3,431 posts)is the lack of enthusiasm of dem voters in comparison
to 2012, however it is very early.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)ericson00
(2,707 posts)I'm gonna like the campaign ads next year. Plus, there's a recent pic of Jeb with his mouth open in the chimp style Bush II was once caught in for a pic.
oasis
(49,398 posts)But try as they may, their efforts will be wasted.
Jamaal510
(10,893 posts)I guess I overestimated him a little. I actually saw a poll earlier that even showed Bernie leading him in a hypothetical matchup, albeit by a slimmer margin.