2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI am cautiously optimistic that a major political shift is taking place.
And it is not good for Republicans. Not since the New Deal has one of the two major parties had so many major setbacks within a short period of time.
The Dixiecrat Southern Strategy of Nixon in 1972 is dead. Done. Finished. And not mourned by anybody except a few die hard Confederate wing nuts. The times when a Republican or Dixiecrat politician could garner votes with a wink and a nod to the racists is over. And what scares Republicans is that they are about to lose the high ground on gun rights as well. Hillary Clinton is going to run and win on a platform of instituting common sense gun laws. And she will likely have long enough coat tails to win back the Senate in 2016 for the Democrats.
The Democrats will be strengthened ever more by the debate over same-sex marriage, regardless of how the SCOTUS rules, but the likelihood is that it will rule in favor of gay rights. The so called "social issues" now appear to favor Democrats. The exception might be abortion, but even that appears to be losing its edge as a way to turn out votes for Republicans.
The Affordable Care Act is here to stay. It may be amended around the edges by a future Congress but the basic provisions cannot be taken away - only expanded to offer better coverage to more people. And the Republicans know that and are wishing they had not dubbed it "Obamacare" - meant to be an epithet but now it just reminds voters of who finally broke the mold of the old system of throwing poor people with no health insurance on the mercies of the Emergency Rooms.
In terms of the economy, what are the Republicans to do? Nearly every prediction they have made about Obama and the economy has turned out to be incorrect. Every month jobs are being added. And when voters in 2016 look back on 8 years of Obama and 8 years of Bush it doesn't look good for Republicans on the economy, which is still what elections are mostly about.
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)The Media is owned and controlled by five Billionaires or their families. And if 2014 can be used as a guide,you know damn well what type of head winds we will face. Ailies and Rove have already staked out the GOP's talking points and they seem to be tons and tons of False Equivalencies. Appears we see the same old crap of 1996.
yellowcanine
(35,701 posts)And right now the momentum is on the Democratic side. Not saying it is a lock, but I don't see any current or probable Republican candidate who can be competitive with any Democratic candidate.
abakan
(1,819 posts)Most of the repug candidates don't seem to have two brain cells to rub together. I think the country has had enough of stupid.
Person 2713
(3,263 posts)Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)What appears to be the modis operation of the Media is,setting up of several false equivalency talking points,then running with items that have the greatest feed back. We already see the framing of Hillary and Bernie. The real kicker today was all of the Media repeating Scalia's rant against ACA and how the Republicans are going to keep the mantra of anti Obamacare. After Mr. Obama did his Presser this A.M.,talk about bullshit reporting,every news channel is tripping over each other to see whom can be the more Stupid. To hell with the truth.