Democrats are unlikely to regain control of the U.S. Senate until 2020.

[NPolitics1979]

2016- Democrats lose NV(Sandoval-R decides to run),narrowly hold onto CO,and pick up FL,IL,and WI. Republicans will hold onto NH(Hassan-D decides not to run),OH,and PA. +2D 48D 52R
2018- Democrats lose IN,MT,and ND, hold onto FL,MO,NJ,NM,OH,PA,VA,WV and WI and pick up NV(Cortez Masto-D narrowly defeats Heller-R) and AZ(Synema-D narrowly defeats Flake-R) -1D 47D 53R
2020- Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held US Senate Seat up in 2020 including NH and VA, Democrats will need to pick up CO,IA,and NC plus win the White House.

[Robbins]

1. If dems don't regain senate in 2016

GOP will hold congress for years to come.

[RBInMaine]

2. LONG way until the election and already waving the white flag. Typical far left self defeatism.

[Cosmocat]

7. Yeah, we can't know at this point

it will start to come into focus at the end of this/start of next year ...

I think it is a little less than 50/50 today.

But, depending on how things are going overall and how the presidential sets up, it could come back.

[Cal33]

12. Are you taking into consideration the GOP'S innumerable methods of election and vote fraud, and

the Democrats' generally incredible apathy in doing something to fight against those frauds?

Many states (including mine) were still using Diebold voting machines in 2014. I did. How
about you?

[mgcgulfcoast]

3. we will gain 8 seats next year

maybe more if bush or rubio are the rep nominees.

[Cosmocat]

8. That is hard to fathom

the two big elections for democrats in recent history were driven by strong anti-bush tides in 06 and 08.

As big of jackasses as republicans are, they will have effectively wore the country down on Obama bashing just as they did with Clinton. That was a BIG reason Bush won, or got close enough to get the win. People just were flat wore out by the republican drama and elected doofus as much as anything to shut them up.

Republicans have to be epicaly bad to suffer big national swings - to get full turnout from unreliable dems, to get enough strident Rs to sit it out, to get the mushy middle to not mostly smile and ask for more republican bullshit.

It will be a good day to get the senate to a 50-50 split with a dem president, or maybe 51-49.

[GGJohn]

9. And your reasoning or proof of this is.........................? eom.

[Rosco T.]

5. your numbers are already flawed

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251410054

[vkkv]

6. Republican voters are not motivated by their candidates.. would you be ??

[John_Doe80004]

10. if this prediction proves to be true...

and i hope it doesn't come to be, then this country is screwed and we very likely won't have a country come 2020, or we will become a technologically advanced 3rd world banana republic.

i know don't have remind everyone here what plans and policy ideas the republicans have for the country if they have control and it doesn't take a rocket scientist to see the disasters that await and will result if the republicans get full control of the federal government.

[FSogol]

11. Screw that. Let's take the house and senate back in 2016.

GOTV, DU.

[fizzgig]

13. i don't know why you think bennet will hold his seat in co

udall lost his seat in a race where millions of dollars of dark money poured in from the right and i see no reason to think 2016 will be any different. personally, i would like to see him primaried from the left.

[DFW]

14. I see NV and NH as possible pickups

It'll be an unwieldy Senate, and we MUST retain the While House, but I see us as having at least a 50-50 shot at taking it back. If we lose the White House, then forget the Senate.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

15. Way too far out to make these kind of predictions

2016 will be a Presidential election, which *should* help with Democratic turnout. We have to somehow teach our voters to keep the fires stoked for those midterms, however.

[NPolitics1979]

16. The worst and best case scenario for Democratic Senate nominees in 2016 and 2018

Worst 2016/2018
Lose CO and NV in 2016
Gain IL and WI in 2016
Lose IN,MT,and ND in 2018
Democrats will end up with 43 seats after 2018
Worst 2016/Best 2018
Lose CO and NV in 2016
Gain IL and WI in 2016
Hold onto IN,MT,and ND in 2018
Gain AZ and NV in 2018
Democrats will end up with 48 seats after 2018
Best 2016/Worst 2018
Hold onto CO and NV in 2016
Gain FL,IL,NH,OH,and WI in 2016
Lose IN,MT,and ND in 2018
Democrats will end up with 48 seats after 2018
Best 2016/2018
Hold onto CO and NV in 2016
Gain FL,IL,NH,OH,and WI in 2016
Hold onto IN,MT,and ND in 2018
Gain AZ and NV in 2018
Democrats will end up with 53 seats.