2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll: Dem Landrieu Leads All GOPers In The Field
DANIEL STRAUSS APRIL 7, 2014, 10:43 AM EDT
A new poll from Magellan Strategies finds Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) leading the field in her fight to win re-election. But Landrieu falls short of the 50 percent support she would need to avoid a runoff in the race. The Magellan Strategies survey found Landrieu gains a plurality of the support in the field with 39.3 percent of the 600 voters surveyed, according to The Hill.
Meanwhile, Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-LA), the lead Republican candidate in the race, gets 26.3 percent. The other two candidates in the race, Republican Paul Hollis and tea party favorite Rob Maness (R) both only get 3 percent support each.
Louisiana's Senate race is an open primary often referred to as a "jungle primary" meaning that all the candidates run in the same primary no matter their party affiliation. The primary is held on Nov. 4 and if any candidate wins 50 percent of the vote the win the seat. If no candidate wins 50 percent the top two vote-getters go to a runoff held on December 6.
The poll was conducted among 600 registered voters between March 24 and March 26. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. It was commissioned by conservative businessman Lane Grisby.
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http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/poll-mary-landrieu-leads-cassidy-runoff
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)But a December run off is awful close to when a senator's term ends. If there is any kind of recount that gives them about a month to certify the election. In the case where a closely fought recount (god forbid) like in Minnesota happened it would mean they would be sitting without a senator for some period of time. Not a real stellar idea.
Reter
(2,188 posts)Look at it like this. It's Louisiana. Having no Senator is better than a Tea Bagger, and Mary Landrieu is barely better than nothing, being Republican light.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)However they lost six months of having a senator. Sure I would have rather had that then Coleman back in office. The problem in that case was Coleman's refusal to concede in the election for months. That could happen again. It seems to make more sense to me to have the primary earlier.