The Libertarian is polling at 12 percent in Va.

[KamaAina]

Cuccinelli is despised THAT MUCH. Not only for his sparkling personality but for his buddy Ted Cruz's shutdown, which is hammering both NoVa and the Tidewater region (Navy) hard.

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/politico-poll-government-shutdown-backlash-terry-mcauliffe-ken-cuccinelli-virginia-governor-election-97953.html



Even in a hypothetical two-way race, McAuliffe still wins.

[Dawson Leery]

1. Taliban Ken is going down!

[rdharma]

2. Don't rely on polls........ complacency kills! And that's what the Rethugs count on.......

Get out and VOTE!

[Xyzse]

6. Agreed!

I am paying close attention to VA.

Even though I am a Marylander...

[Robbins]

3. Sarvis

He is hurting both sides.

[karynnj]

4. That is a pretty amazing chart

I am not sure of the two way race statement, as they could disproportionately go to Cuccinelli if they had to choose - the same with the undecideds. However the good news, is that it is not a 2 way race - it is a 3 way race. I suspect that as often is the case, fewer people will actually vote for the third party candidate than will say so in a poll. If he holds even 10%, McAuliffe will need only 1/8 of the undecideds to win.

My take on this - as Cuccinelli has had some very real problems is that even a pretty weak Democratic candidate will win -- and that is what McAuliffe is. I suspect that a Democrat as well liked in VA as Kaine or Warner would be over 50% at this point

[Dawson Leery]

5. Warner would have won in a landslide.

A few polls came out in the winter that put him at 54-58%.

[Tarheel_Dem]

7. +1. "Weak" is an understatement. I, personally, can't stand TM, but I sure hope he wins this one.