2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum270 To Win
I'm sure I'm the last to know about this website (or others like it), but it gives me comfort:
http://www.270towin.com/
You can fill in who you think will win states and see the totals. The basic map has some blue (227 EVs), some red (191EVs), and NH, PA, OH, VA, FL, NC, CO, NA and IA as swing states. Although anything is possible, looking at the map, I don't think any of the blues or reds will flip.
Now, I know November is a loooooong way away, especially in politics, but really, I just can't see Obama losing PA, NH or CO. That puts him at 260 right there. A win in ANY of the other states (or NV and IA combined, which I think is a real possibility) and he wins.
Basically, Rmoney has to flip just about every swing state to pull it off. Not impossible, but Obama has so many paths to victory that I'm feeling pretty darn good about things.
Anyway, it's fun to play with. Just thought I'd share my two cents.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)popular vote.
BTW 270towin was created by a guy named Allan Keiter: http://www.myrateplan.com/news/biography.php
His twitter account is: http://twitter.com/#!/allankeiter
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)RedSpartan
(1,693 posts)284 to 254
gopiscrap
(23,761 posts)AK ID ND WY UT SD NE KS OK TX AR LA KY MO WV TN IN MS AL GA NC SC ABSOLUTE REP FOR 191 EV
WA HI OR CA NV NM MN WI IA MI PA NJ ME NH VT MA RI CT DE DC IL MD FL CO ABSOLUTE DEM 271 EV
TOSS: MT AZ FL OH 64 EV
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)gopiscrap
(23,761 posts)he's not supposed to be in toss
Laf.La.Dem.
(2,943 posts)very interesting
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)All the more reason to remind people to vote in their House and Senate races as well.
Taylor Smite
(86 posts)Last edited Fri Apr 27, 2012, 09:45 AM - Edit history (1)
RealClearPolitics. RCP is cool because it has an aggregate of all the latest polls from each state. I look at the poll numbers and make the map on 270towin. Like you said, this is Obama's to lose.
RedSpartan
(1,693 posts)Good to click on the states and see polling and fill in at 270towin:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html