2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Poll Shows That Republicans Are Totally Screwed With Latino Voters
That's the actual title of the article.
The poll, from Latino Decisions, shows former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton walloping U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) among Latinos in a hypothetical 2016 matchup. According to the poll, Clinton grabs 66% of Latino voters. Only 28% would vote for Rubio.
Clinton is wildly popular with Latinos. 73% view her favorably and just 17% view her unfavorably. Those with an opinion are evenly divided on Rubio: 31% favorable; 29% unfavorable.
Republicans get creamed among Latinos in all possible matchups in the poll. The closest a Republican candidate comes to a Democrat is former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who trails Vice President Joe Biden with Latino voters 60-30.
The poll found, however, that Rubio's key role in shaping the immigration bill in the Senate could boost his potential candidacy. According to the poll, 54% of Latino voters said they'd be at least "somewhat likely" to vote for him if the bill becomes law and unauthorized immigrants are offered a path to citizenship.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/poll-shows-republicans-totally-screwed-200900313.html
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)He's got a choice to either stand with the anti{brown-skinned only}immigration reform TeaBagger crowd or be seen as a traitor and a pariah in the Latino communities' eyes should he be against a pathway to citizenship {which he currently is}.
Perhaps he should jump the sinking Republican ship and become a Democrat, that is, if the Democrats would have him.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,414 posts)Soon they'll be all that's left of the GOP. Rubio, like most of the *sensible* Republicans will have to learn to swim or sink.
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)They are so afraid of primary challenges, they have paralyzed government, and the entire country is held hostage as a result.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,414 posts)If it were just affecting the Republican Party, I wouldn't notice and/or care but they're having a domino effect on the rest of us, unfortunately. The problem is that the media and pundits are misdiagnosing/misdirecting the rest of us as to the source of the problem. To hear the news media speak, you'd think that President Obama isn't compromising enough with the GOP and/or not wining and dining them enough, not that a subset of the Republican Party is batshit crazy insane and won't let anything get done under penalty of GOP primaries.
JM42
(98 posts)datasuspect
(26,591 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,414 posts)n/t
FiveGoodMen
(20,018 posts)BainsBane
(53,035 posts)davidpdx
(22,000 posts)It will be the House that will hold it up. Whether they get it done before 2016 is the question. Will Bohner still be the SoH in 2015? There are enough far right elements in the House that will tie the bill up being offered on that side. Since they won't vote on the Senate bill, the whole thing is going to get pushed back again.
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)Not as long as Boehner insists on majority support from his caucus to bring a bill up for a vote.
I hate to be negative about it, but realistically it doesn't seem like a majority of Rs in the House will support it. Then there is the need to merge the two bill as well which is a huge roadblock.
Kablooie
(18,634 posts)So the Latino vote won't be nearly as influential.
Just watch.
A week or two before elections there will be a whole slew of voter requirements that will pop out of the red-wood work.
They will be blatantly illegal and discriminatory and will be challenged in court ... several months ... after the election.
In the meantime most Latinos were prevented from voting.
The laws will be shot down and the states will agree not to do that again.
Then a few weeks before he next election a whole NEW set of illegal laws will be implemented. They won't be covered by the previous verdict because they are a whole new way of discriminating.
Once again they will be shot down but months after the election is over.
This can re-occur before every election and unless the Democrats get control of Congress and the Presidency it will continue and no one can do anything about it.
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)That is precisely their strategy to deal with demographic changes, and SCOTUS just made it easier for them to disenfranchise voters.