Scott Walker recall. bellweather for november?

[mgcgulfcoast]

i think if we can defeat walker it sends a good signal for november. it will show we are energized. does everyone think the same?

[southernyankeebelle]

1. At the moment he is at 50% and Barrett is at 45%. I pray your right and all the democratics win

[Arkana]

2. Not really, to be honest.

Recall elections are tricky--they require a high level of energy and enthusiasm to be maintained for a very long time, and if it's not, the fact that it's not a normal election will all but guarantee that not enough people show up to throw the bums out.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

3. Bellweather?

Not really sure about that. I doubt his maintaining his office would portend doom for President Obama in November. The two elections are not really THAT intertwined. I see the Wisconsin recall as being more of a state issue.

[mgcgulfcoast]

4. perhaps

but if we are energized enough to vote out walker its a good sign.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

6. Getting rid of Walker would be good for Wisconsinites

and it will help make it pretty unlikely that he will wind up on the national stage. Hopefully, he will be sent packing along with more Republican legislators.

[HereSince1628]

5. I think WI is rather more of a Warning Siren in the war on ALEC and those it represents

WI may very well fail in it's effort to recall Walker. It won't go down without a fight, but if you've ever studied recalls you will understand that this is a very hard battle to win. It's an uphill assault.

WI is one of the places that rallied against the influence of ALEC and the tiny knot of monied extremists who are working to turn the Republic into the plaything of a junta of billionaires.

Along with a couple of other states, we made a stand. Together we made a difference. The nation has had time to grasp full understanding of the enemy within. Our recall battle may not be won. But a rebellion has been started against those who would destroy the Republic.

ALEC is no longer a puppeteer working in the shadows, ALEC is a fugitive and those who supported it are running fast away from it.

[a kennedy]

7. Democrats' uphill struggle in state Senate recalls

New polls showing Republicans with healthy leads in three of the four state Senate recall fights are sobering for Democrats for a few reasons.

One, they're a reminder that these races are being fought on Republican-leaning turf, as were last year’s Senate recalls.

Two, the Democratic pollster who did the surveys argues that a small portion of voters unhappy with GOP Gov. Scott Walker don’t approve of the recalls, creating an extra hurdle for Democrats to overcome in flipping these Senate seats.

Three, Walker leads in his own recall fight in these particular districts, according to the polls.

.........The polling was done April 13-15, with between 643 and 761 likely voters surveyed in each district. The margin of error in each of the polls ranged between 3.5 and 3.9 percentage points.

According to the survey, in each of the four districts:

Walker has a positive approval rating, with his lowest approval rating in the 21st (52%).

Walker leads his potential Democratic challengers.

Democrats Tom Barrett and Kathleen Falk have negative ratings (more voters have unfavorable opinions of them than favorable opinions)

President Barack Obama has a negative approval rating.

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/147967755.html

This is not good news.......I'm getting terribly nervous about this whole recall business.

[WI_DEM]

10. hopefully dems can pull out that 1 district--because that is all they need to control the State

Senate.

[Bake]

8. I'm afraid that Walker is going to survive the recall.

It's been too long since the Wisconsin Uprising, and the enthusiasm appears to have wanted (at least, from what I can see). Walker's polling has improved. And with the Koch money, well, I think he squeaks by.

And that will be a travesty.

Bake

[WI_DEM]

9. Not necessarily. Most recalls fail. Last year there were six GOP Senators up for recall...

and we won only TWO of the six--one narrowly. Some people, regardless of party, oppose recalls on principle.

[yellowcanine]

11. I don't think it is necessarily a good indicator unless there would be an overwhelming

rejection of Walker - this might mean energized Democrats. OTOH if it is close either way I don't think it says much.