Delegate Model Suggests Romney Will Come Up Short

[babylonsister]

How embarrassing.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/04/03/delegate_model_suggests_romney_will_come_up_short.html

April 03, 2012

Delegate Model Suggests Romney Will Come Up Short


Ryan Lizza presents a model -- which takes into account the RNC's intricate state-by-state rules for awarding delegates -- and finds Mitt Romney projected to end the GOP primary season with 1,122 delegates.

"So what does this all mean? Romney will be 22 delegates short of the 1,144 he'll need to win the nomination. That might sound like good news for Rick Santorum, but according to Putnam's count there will also be 598 unbound delegates remaining at this point. These delegates can support any candidate, either because they are chosen in non-binding caucuses or conventions, or because they've been directly elected in primaries. If Romney is only slightly short of his magic number, it will be easy for him to win the support of unpledged delegates from states that he won, like Illinois, Maine, and Washington."

[no_hypocrisy]

1. If that happens, Romney has one of two choices if he still wants the nomination:

A) Suck up to one of the other republican candidates (Rick, Newt, or Ron) and either ask him to be VP or adopt the platform according to the whims of the candidate; or

B) Take his chances with an open convention and hope he gets the most votes.

[Major Hogwash]

2. Gingrich must drop out this month or he will do irreparable harm to the GOP party.

Santorum can only hope to stop Romney at this point, but even Marco Rubio sees the writing on the wall, it's time to stop the circus sideshow and circle the wagons around Romney.

[rufus dog]

3. I'll bet $10,000 (of Mitt's Money)

That he will get over the top.

Not that I suggest the delegate model is wrong, but that it is based upon the CURRENT rules. And the repukes will change the award totals to give him the vicotry.

[DFW]

4. And if THAT doesn't work.....

A few of Romney's enforcers at the convention can stand their ground, pull out their guns and make 22 of the uncommitted delegates an offer they can't refuse.........

[WI_DEM]

5. close enough where super delegates will put him over--or as it says in the article

If Romney is only slightly short of his magic number, it will be easy for him to win the support of unpledged delegates from states that he won, like Illinois, Maine, and Washington."