2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumProf Daniel Smith: In Miami area 351k new voters, 47% are Hispanic... Justice done to Trump
Broadening the lens to Miamis designated market area (which includes Broward and Monroe counties) doesnt improve Trumps performance. Of the areas 1.3 million early voters, nearly 351,000 did not vote in 2012and 47 percent are Hispanic. The numbers are even worse for Trump, said Smith.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-07/in-trump-s-most-important-county-a-surge-of-hispanic-voters-iv7he39o
JCMach1
(27,570 posts)Trump cannot win Florida.
pstokely
(10,530 posts)?
RAFisher
(466 posts)That poll had Rubio winning by 3% overall. If undecided break to the Democrats I don't know if that will push Murphy over the edge.
pstokely
(10,530 posts)nt
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)"But the late registrants, Smith says, give the clearest indication that sentiment in Miami-Dade is running strongly against Trump. Of the 29,657 voters who registered last month, 41 percent are Democrats, 44 percent are unaffiliated, and only 12.5 percent are Republicans. Thats nuts, said Smith. These are the barometers that indicate the hostility toward the GOP candidate.