Loras College Iowa Poll: Clinton: 44% Trump: 43% Johnson: 3% Stein: 3%
DUBUQUE, Iowa — With Election Day on Tuesday the final 2016 Loras College Poll of Iowa finds Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and Republican challenger Donald Trump in a virtual tie in the Hawkeye state.
“It looks like things may come down to the wire here in Iowa,” said Christopher Budzisz, Ph.D., associate professor of politics and director of the Loras College Poll. “The presidential race is within the margin of error, and both campaigns will be pushing hard to ensure their supporters get to the polls. Iowa GOP turnout efforts for Election Day may be more important this year than ever before given the role of early voting.”
The statewide live-caller survey of 500 likely voters was conducted Nov. 1-3, and included both landline and cell phones (58-42 split).
Early versus Election Day voting
While Clinton holds a one-point advantage in the four-way ballot test that includes responses of those who indicate they have already voted, the picture changes when you look only at those who said they had not yet voted. Excluding early voters, Trump holds a 10-point advantage 47 to 37 percent.
http://www.loras.edu/news/clinton-trump-tight-race-iowa-grassley-young-blum-leads-loras-college-poll-finds/
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