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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIn 2012 NH polls showed a tie and Obama won by 4
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html#pollsWe will win New Hampshire.
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In 2012 NH polls showed a tie and Obama won by 4 (Original Post)
WI_DEM
Nov 2016
OP
Todays suffock poll is something to do with undecided, if you add HRC 209 votes to 38 undecided
MyNameIsKhan
Nov 2016
#4
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)1. It's amazing. You go back to 2012 and you
realize how close the numbers were. If we are freaking out now, we must have been flat out crazy in 2012.
The 2012 numbers were very close. Yet Obama won easily. Hillary is in a much better position based on the polls now than Obama was at this point in 2012.
We need to relax. HRC is doing just fine.
vdogg
(1,384 posts)2. Those are 2012 National Polls, not New Hampshire
Charles Bukowski
(1,132 posts)3. Here are the polls for NH
https://www1.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html
Most of the polls showed a very close race. A few in late October even favored Romney.
The final RCP average before the election was Obama +2, a number most pundits would consider a statistical "dead heat".
He won by 5.6 points.
Most of the polls showed a very close race. A few in late October even favored Romney.
The final RCP average before the election was Obama +2, a number most pundits would consider a statistical "dead heat".
He won by 5.6 points.
MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)4. Todays suffock poll is something to do with undecided, if you add HRC 209 votes to 38 undecided
you get 247, in the poll 245 of them voted Obama...vs 214 for Romney, Trump is getting 211...
I think some voters got nervous based on Comeygate... they will be back
yellowcanine
(35,701 posts)5. I think a tie to -2 for Hillary is a win for her because of ground game.