How are the polls in wisconsin for Hillary

[gabeana]

is it comfortable, if she gets Wisc. it is over

I did an interactive map, without fl, Oh, NC, GA, NH,IA, UT, AZ she still wins with 274

[Va Lefty]

1. 538 has her +5%

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/

[getagrip_already]

2. you can see for youself at 538.....

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/

But, no polls mean a thing unless people get out and vote..........

[Hannahcares]

3. Walker election workers can (will) mess with totals.

See Waukesha " found ballots"

[StevieM]

4. She was looking at 375 electoral votes before Comey and Chaffetz set out to rig the election. (eom)

[Imperialism Inc.]

5. I think she needs NH.

Are you taking NV as a given in your map?

[Grey Lemercier]

6. as long as she takes WI, MI, PA, and VA, there's literally only 1 path to 270 for Trump, and 5 paths

where it gets thrown into the House (and thus Trump is elected, all CT aside) as neither gets to 270.


A calm,cool,rational,detailed look at the near impossibility of a Trump win (even w/ mass damage from idiot weak voters over Comey's email stunt)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512552418

I have been working on this for days. I can set the range right now for the entire Election. the LOWEST possible EV total for Clinton is 268 (2 scenarios) and 269 (4 scenarios), Trump has ONE scenario to 270, and then 2 at 269, 1 at 264, and 2 at 263 EV's. In all 5 non 270's, it goes to the Repub House who would have to vote him POTUS.


There is EXACTLY ONE way, yes ONE path for Trump to 270 and outright win. There are only 5 other ways for Hillary to NOT hit 270 and thus toss the POTUS choice to the House (probably Trump wins, but chaos could ensue, and THAT is beyond the scope of this post)

All 6 scenarios involve just 4 things

A Utah (will be either Trump or McMullin, and ONLY MATTER in ONE scenario (the 270 outright Trump win, it is MEANINGLESS in ALL other scenarios because it will have zero effect on HILLARY's EV's)

B Nebraska 2nd district (Obama won it, thus gaining one vote in 2008, and Hillary has a shot at it again)

C Maine 2nd District (Trump has lead thruout for its one split EV)

D New Hampshire... the simplest one, IF TRUMP loses NH, there is NO path, if my 4 Blue Wall states below hold.

I start out by laying out the 4 "Blue Wall states" that Sec Clinton is up in so high there is basically no way she can lose them, even if there is a bad blowback from the combined onslaught of the Foundation leaks plus the new Comey bullshit partisan October surprise (he is a fucking traitor)

These 4 are Wisconsin, Michigan, Virginia (the newest entry to the Blue Wall, yay) and then the shakiest, but still in the bag one, Pennsylvania. In all 4 she has a 85% (91% in VA) or higher shot at winning and other than PA, is probably near a double digit lead.

So now we move to ALL the other states Trump HAS to SWEEP in order for my pathways to even be considered, he WILL NOT, NOT NOT sweep all these, but again, I am giving them ALL to Trump to show you how hard it is for him to win EVEN with all these.

Trump MUST SWEEP:


NEVADA
ARIZONA
TEXAS
IOWA
MISSOURI
INDIANA
OHIO
FLORIDA
GEORGIA
NORTH CAROLINA
ALASKA


he loses ANY, any one

its impossible for Clinton to not hit 270 and thus win. No way will he sweep those, but lets just say he does


now here the only 6 scenarios left, literally

and

ALL these include NEW HAMPSHIRE going to Trump (by far the state out of all those he is doing the worst in) He loses NH, he is also toast.

If Hillary takes Nebraska 2nd district and Trump loses Maine 2nd, he is toast too



click the link to see the only 6 scenario maps

[jamese777]

7. Alaska Poll

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 29, 2016 New Poll Shows Clinton Leads Trump by 4 Points in Alaska
Anchorage, AK – A poll of likely voters in Alaska shows Hillary Clinton with a growing lead over Donald Trump particularly with younger voters and women, mirroring trends seen in the lower-48. Craciun Research surveyed 400 voters and found 47-43 leaning for the Democratic nominee with less than two weeks until Election Day. This most recent polling verifies the trend identified by Moore Information and Lake Research polling showing growing support for Clinton, and that the Last Frontier, typically a solid red state, may be turning purple. Trump’s support with likely voters meanwhile has dipped 4% since mid-October.
The Gender Gap is at levels not experienced in the recent past with women supporting Clinton by a margin of 17% (55% to 38% respectively). Further impacting the race is the unprecedented endorsement of Clinton by the Alaska Federation of Natives board. In the rural North and Northwest regions of the State, the poll shows Clinton is beating Trump by a margin of almost 5:1 (74% to 15%).
The poll may also shed light on who the 18% still undecided voters may pick. “If you look at non-partisan voters, Secretary Clinton is winning by a margin of 15 points. That may give you a sense of how the undecided voters will lean on Election Day,” according to pollster Jean Craciun.
Craciun Research has been one of the premier political, non-partisan polling and strategy firms in the Northwest for the last 30 years. For further details on their polling methods, contact Jean Craciun at [e-mail] or [phone] or visit the Craciun Research website, http://www.craciunresearch.com.