2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION POLLS FOR OCTOBER 29, 2016

[applegrove]

2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION POLLS FOR OCTOBER 29, 2016

BY NICHOLAS LOFFREDO at Newsweek

http://www.newsweek.com/2016-presidential-election-poll-october-29-514983

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Clinton is 5.5 points ahead of Trump in the FiveThirtyEight forecast as of Saturday morning. FiveThirtyEight says the Democratic nominee has an 80.6 percent chance of winning the presidency, down from an 81.6-percent chance as of Friday morning. Clinton is forecasted to win at least 324 electoral votes to Trump's 213.

The Upshot's daily election forecast shows no movement from Friday, when Clinton was said to have a 91 percent chance to win office compared to Trump's 9 percent chance.

The Real Clear Politics's average of national and state polls shows some incremental movement for Trump's. Clinton is 4.6 points ahead of Trump as of Saturday morning, down from her 5.2-point advantage Friday. Clinton's average support dropped from 47.3 percent of likely and registered voters to 47.1 percent, while Trump moved from 42.1 percent support to 42.5 percent.

The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project reported Saturday that Clinton enjoys a healthy advantage in early voting tallies, and is leading Trump by 15 percentage points among voters surveyed in the past two weeks. An estimated 19 million Americans have voted so far in the election, according to the University of Florida’s United States Election Project, accounting for as much as 20 percent of the electorate.



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