David Plouffe tweet

[helpisontheway]

1h
David Plouffe? @davidplouffe
Clinton path to 300+ rock solid. Structure of race not affected by Comey's reckless irresponsibility. Vote and volunteer, don't fret or wet


1,984

3,776

[Lucinda]

1. KNR

[MyNameIsKhan]

2. Exactly ... This is a distraction but rest is all baked

The turnout models still are in favor of HRC, maybe we will loose AZ or OH or IA but rest is all good.

[Elwood P Dowd]

3. K&R

Finally a little good news today.

[lucca18]

4. Yes!

[Madam45for2923]

5. Very cool! No need to get baited by people who don't wish us well!

[Mme. Defarge]

6. K&R!

[ProudProgressiveNow]

7. K&R nt

[calimary]

8. Eyes on the Prize, Guys!

[SunSeeker]

9. "don't fret or wet"

[blm]

10. Exactly - ADOPT A SWING STATE, folks - we have ONE WEEK!!!!!

Get on the battlefield. NC, Florida and Nevada Dems need every bit of help we can give them.

[Dem2]

11. Fret or wet

Lol.

[liberalla]

23. i know!

[lillypaddle]

12. Yes!

I believe David Plouffe.

[TeamPooka]

13. GOTV! It's Election Day for the next week

[SleeplessinSoCal]

14. It is still vital to shed light in Comey and Chaffetz.

They have unethically tried to change the election. If we want to get past dysfunction, dirty politics has to go.

[mainstreetonce]

15. Thanks

Can't wait to celebrate.

[DinahMoeHum]

16. Agreed. Hillary ain't losing this one, folks.

The only questions re her inevitable victory are:
1) by how much
and
2) how long are her coat tails re the down-ballot races?

[tallahasseedem]

17. K&R

[DemonGoddess]

18. K&R!

[UCmeNdc]

19. K&R

[UtahLib]

20. Yes, she's still GOT THIS!!!

[malchickiwick]

21. I'm fretting and wetting over the Senate, not to mention the House!!

Before Benedict Comey's revelations the Senate seemed in the bag, and the House a distinct, if difficult, proposition...Now it feels as if that balance has been tipped by that fucker's thumb. So yes I'm PISSED!!

[Fast Walker 52]

22. I think the ONLY good thing in this recent email idiocy is it helps the Dems from being complacent

[longship]

24. Don't fret or wet.

Great turn of phrase.

R&

[BluegrassDem]

25. Plouffe is not a bullshitter

He's a numbers guy and he wouldn't tweet this if it wasn't true.

[Demsrule86]

26. Thanks David and Helpisontheway!

I know I am so pissed...I decided to make more phone calls.

[Thrill]

27. Bump

[Wounded Bear]

28. K & R ...... nt

[LakeArenal]

29. The Republicans have cried wolf so many times..

Now, no one believes anything they have to say. Except that 30% that are always gonna hate.

[dae]

30. I sure hope he is right!

[anamandujano]

31. Love & kisses to this thread! REC!

[Upthevibe]

33. Yes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! n/t

[geek tragedy]

32. < 10 days ago he was predicting 400 EVs

Clinton still has a strong firewall but 300+ is unlikely (would need to win NC +OH, AZ or FL)
and her early vote is looking worse than Obama's in NC, FL and OH).

Most likely number for her is 278. That's a solid 278 and Trump has no ability to get her under that.

[BluegrassDem]

34. No he didn't...he said she may get closer to 400 than 270

Getting 400 means carrying Texas and nowhere has Plouffe said or insinuated she would carry Texas.

[radius777]

36. Plouffe is right, 300+ is very likely.

She's not going to lose NV, NC, and FL, imo, all states she's held consistent leads in (and consistently been favored in the prediction markets for those states). She could lose OH, IA and AZ. If that's how it turns out that is 323 electoral votes.

Comey's stunt is a nothingburger that is backfiring, while H/Dems have yet to drop their final surprises.

The fundamentals of the race are sound and internal polling (from both parties) has shown that Trump may be in worse condition that the public polls indicate.

Trump also has no ground game, whereas H/Dems have a highly sophisticated and strong one.

[Divine Discontent]

35. I appreciate his belief! I hope it happens as we all feel. I have her pegged for just over 300 EV

but you cannot know for sure until people vote!

[Nitram]

38. Right on! Keep your eyes on the prize, hold on!

[Fahrenthold451]

39. David, Is it ok if I vote volunteer fret and wet? My child occasionally wets and I'm supportive.

[saidsimplesimon]

40. K&R, thank you

I agree with Plouffe, and you. I am keeping my eye and my feet on the prize. I am not discouraged by any last minute lame Inquisition. The media is reporting early voting in AZ, FL and GA as Repuglican voters advantage. We can prove them wrong by insisting on counting all these votes, reporting and fighting voter suppression bs, and showing up in record numbers at the polls.

I found this article before logging in. It supports the tweet in a longer form. If you have time consider reading the entire article.

http://www.businessinsider.com/why-the-fbis-october-surprise-probably-wont-hurt-hillary-clinton-2016-10

Why the FBI's 'October surprise' probably won't hurt Hillary Clinton

Jamelle Bouie, Slate

.....clip
Everyone agrees that American politics is more partisan and more polarized than it’s ever been. But not everyone grasps why that’s important. It’s not just Congress and the ability of our institutions to make progress and accomplish their goals. It’s also our elections.

This polarization is so strong, in fact, that it renders the gaffes of recent elections almost irrelevant.

The folk theory of American democracy is that citizens deliberate on the issues and choose a candidate. That is false. The truth, as political scientists Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels describe in Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government, is that voters are tribalistic. Their political allegiances come first, and their positions and beliefs follow.

We’ve seen this with Donald Trump. Support for free trade is a longstanding belief within the GOP, but Trump is a major opponent, slamming most of the trade deals of the past 30 years. You would think that this would depress his support among Republican voters. It didn’t. Instead, those voters changed their views of trade. Their beliefs followed their affiliations, not the other way around.