2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNow is the time to take down Marco Rubio, but the DSCC has decided not to
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/10/26/1587047/-Now-is-the-time-to-take-down-Marco-Rubio-but-the-DSCC-has-decided-not-toNow is the time to take down Marco Rubio, but the DSCC has decided not to
By Joan McCarter
Wednesday Oct 26, 2016 · 10:00 AM EST
In a year when Democrats have everything to gain by running the table, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (run by Sens. Chuck Schumer and Jon Tester) has decided to abandon their recruit, Patrick Murphy, in Florida and instead have "redirected millions of dollars from Florida to North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana." And that's not going over well with all the other Democrats, including Harry Reid, Florida Sen. Bill Nelson, President Obama, and Hillary and Bill Clinton.
But Reid and other Democrats believe that defeating Rubio would be the ultimate Election Day trophy for Democrats, given his national stature and the reelection threat he could pose to a potential President Hillary Clinton in 2020.
With just two weeks until Election Day, time is running short for Democrats to shift their approach, particularly after the DSCC and Senate Majority PAC scrapped $16 million in ad reservations in the state that would be far more expensive to purchase now. Murphy is getting pummeled by Republicans on the airwavesthe GOP and conservative outside groups are outspending Democratic groups by 4-to-1yet the party is poised to leave Murphy to fend for himself in the final weeks of the race.
Marco Rubio is the Republican establishment's great white hope. He will abandon Florida again to run against Clinton in four years. But his political career could be destroyed by two losses in Florida in one yearthe humiliation he got at the hands of Donald Trump in the presidential primary and this Senate race. Doing everything possible to squash him now makes all the sensenot just to take a potential contender out of commission in four years, but in the immediate term it would mean netting one more Democratic Senate seat.
It is expensive, but here's the thing: Schumer himself had $20 million in his own campaign coffers at the beginning of this month. He's using some of that money in his own re-election campaign. Which essentially doesn't exist because he's not seriously challenged. He's spending his money on TV ads that he doesn't need in New York, in addition to more than $6 million he's diverted into other Senate races. There are plenty of people who want to spend money in Florida to try to beat Rubio.
Right now the internal polling ranges from Murphy being within striking distance to down 10 points. Daily Kos's polling average of public polls has him down 4.5 points, holding Rubio under 50 percent at 46, with nearly 12 percent of the electorate undecided. This is not out of reach. According to Politico, "Murphys biggest problem is that hes underperforming Clinton by double-digit percentages with black and Hispanic voters." There's a very big opening for him there, but these voters "dont even know who Murphy is." That opening is because Florida Latinos are not happy with Rubio, at all, because he sold his soul to Donald Trump. They are there for the convincingthey just need to know about him. And there's probably plenty of media time left on black and Latino radio and television for ads.
Everything points to making Florida a priorityRubio's unpopular and damaged (and yet is still the GOP's future hope, which is a whole other story) and could be taken out now. Murphy was recruited by the DSCC for this race and abandoning him now just doesn't make sense.
brooklynite
(94,573 posts)I give a fair amount to DSCC and I generally comfortable with their decision-making. A year ago, MO was way off the radar screen, but Kander has made a race of it. Murphy hasn't done that well.
babylonsister
(171,066 posts)well because he's not getting a lot of support. Given how I've heard how crucial FL is, I don't know why that is.
brooklynite
(94,573 posts)Other candidates (including Kander) present better opportunities in the waning days.
DSCC doesn't target Republicans because they annoy Democrats. They target them because they think they can be beaten.
babylonsister
(171,066 posts)understanding why this isn't worth supporting.
http://www.mynews13.com/content/news/cfnews13/news/article.html/content/news/articles/cfn/2016/10/25/senate_poll_results.html
Exclusive Florida Decides Poll: Rubio barely leads Murphy by 4 points
chimpymustgo
(12,774 posts)riversedge
(70,232 posts)with the kitchen sick.
GWC58
(2,678 posts)Rubio doesn't even like being in the Senate that's on their asses! They get the representation, or lack there of, they deserve. 😝
babylonsister
(171,066 posts)I've seen/heard a heck of a lot more Rubio advertising compared to Murphy. People don't pay attention anywhere like we do on DU. That's why there is advertising.
MBS
(9,688 posts). . and frustrating to have the DSCC have so much control over the funding.
I'm with Reid, Obama, and the Clintons on this one.
Rubio should be very vulnerable- he didn't do any work at the Senate in his first term except run for president, he lost the Republican presidential primary in his OWN STATE to Trump, he's openly scorned the senate, he's made no promise to serve a full term, he's completely in the pocket of Big Sugar, he's anti-environmentalist and a climate change denier, he's an Empty Suit and shamelessly self-interested careerist.
God, I can't stand him.