Democrats are coming home to Clinton. That’s very bad news for Trump.
By Paul Waldman October 26 at 1:06 PM
One of the main themes of coverage of the 2016 election has been that the American public hate both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, and are trying to figure out which is the lesser of two evils. But that may no longer be true.
If a round of recent polls is correct, Hillary Clinton is consolidating support among Democrats in general, young people, Latinos — in short, all the groups she needs to win, but who at various points in the campaign weren’t yet behind her in as large numbers as they might have been.
She may not wind up as the most beloved presidential candidate in memory, but she’s beginning to look much like other recent Democratic nominees — which would be more than enough for her to win. I’ll explain why I think this has happened in a moment, but let’s do a quick run-down first:
Democrats: In recent elections, both nominees have had overwhelming support among their partisans. But since there are slightly more Democrats than Republicans, if both do equally well, then the Democrat wins. For example, in 2012 Barack Obama won 92 percent of Democratic votes and Mitt Romney won 93 percent of Republicans; in 2008 Obama got 89 percent of his partisans and John McCain got 90 percent of his. You’ll recall who won those two elections.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/10/26/democrats-are-coming-home-to-clinton-thats-very-bad-news-for-trump/?utm_term=.8938ed9877cc&wpisrc=nl_popns&wpmm=1
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