BREAKING: NBC/WSJ/Marist polls of NV, NH

[democrattotheend]

Just out: NBC/WSJ/Marist battlegrounds:
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Clinton 45
Trump 36
Johnson 10
Stein 4

NEVADA
Clinton 43
Trump 43
Johnson 10

Senate:
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Ayotte 48
Hassan 47

NEVADA
Heck 49
Cortez Masto 42

[joeybee12]

1. I can't believe Heck is that far ahead

It's always been close.

[Funtatlaguy]

2. Geez. A lot of ticket splitters

Hope that changes. We need those two Senate seats.

[SaschaHM]

3. NV is tied, but given the EV lead and ground game...

you could probably boost HRC's numbers a bit more.

[OnDoutside]

7. Todd just admitted that they oversampled Latino Males, so he thinks that might have made it

closer that it might be.

[geek tragedy]

4. 3/4 of those numbers are pretty disappointing

All things being relative, because +9 in NH means Trump can't be President.

But that NV Senate number--and the Ayotte overperforming Trump by 10 in NH--are disquieting.

[chillfactor]

5. only good news is NH..

other numbers very disappointing

[Grey Lemercier]

12. good news? Hassan had been up in almost every recent poll I have seen until now

[book_worm]

6. I don't see any reason why suddenly Ayotte would be ahead in NH

[OnDoutside]

8. True, especially after her last 2 weeks.

[JRLeft]

9. It's looking like the GOP will retain both houses. It wouldn't surprise me if they blocked

every judge nominee for the next 4 years.

[jcgoldie]

10. No

Its going to be close, but it really is not looking like that at all.

[magicnpoetry]

11. There Is A Part Of Me

that wan't the Republicans to continue to block everything because I think it exposes them and eventually they will have few new conservative voters in the pipeline. It's a self-destructive strategy. Yes, it puts us in a bad short term situation, but it could have a long term positive result.

[RBInMaine]

13. The Nevada number is crap. No other polls have NV tied.

[MyNameIsKhan]

14. AP-GFK poll has early voting built into the fundamentals, any poll without this is useless

Even if HRC is 10 point ahead, its going to be 380+ EV's. Senate 53-47

and nail biter in house.

[Dawson Leery]

18. Good chance.

The early voting is heavily in her favor, more so than Obama in 08'.

[Thrill]

15. Wtf happened in those Senate races?

I can't take any poll serious that has Jonnson getting 10%

[aaaaaa5a]

16. MSNBC ripped their own poll on TV.

They said Hispanic women were undersampled.

In the poll, 40% of Hispanics were voting for Trump. Everyone agreed it was unrealistic.

Sometimes you get a bad sample. That's why it's important to average all of the legit polls and not just look at one poll individually.

[Sorceress]

17. Ugh! Not loving these Senate results.

I hope this was indeed a bad sample as people have mentioned. This makes Hillary pulling out of Florida even more troublesome. But I won't backseat drive. I'm gonna trust the campaign has everything under control.

[Tom Rivers]

19. not the best numbers but is a good sign for hillary's most narrow path

i always like to look at the most narrow path just to play it safe.

if you go by 270towin "solid" states for hillary she is at 258, with AZ, FL, GA, IA, ME 2, NC, NE 2, NH, NV, OH, UT, and WI as the true swing states or swing districts. surprised a bit that they include WI but not PA but that is what i will go with.

of those i think trump seems to have the more favorable chance in IA, NE 2, and UT, while hillary seems to have the more favorable chance in ME 2, NH, NV and WI. the others also seem to lean her way except for OH but they're all really close. NH and WI alone would put her at 272. trump could run the table on all the other swing states and it would not be enough with what he's already got, and as stated before at the current moment he's behind by at least a small margin on poll averages in many of those states.