2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN: Early voting numbers show Clinton's strength in Arizona, other battlegrounds
Washington (CNN) Hillary Clinton's campaign has reason for optimism in several swing states -- and appears to have turned Arizona into a battleground -- as millions of Americans vote early.
More than 7.3 million Americans have already voted. Democrats have improved their positions in North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona compared to this point in 2012, according to a CNN analysis of the latest early voting statistics.
Republicans, meanwhile, have good news in Iowa. Republicans have improved their position there over 2012 -- backing up the polls which suggest it could be the easiest state won by President Barack Obama for Trump to flip this year.
And in Florida, where the latest comparable data comes from 2008, Democrats -- buoyed by an increasingly diverse electorate -- have cut deeply into the traditional Republican advantage in early ballots cast so far.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/26/politics/early-voting-statistics-2016-election/
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)therefore, I do see a edge for her overall.
Johnny2X2X
(19,114 posts)Said that the campaign will be getting exact data on early voting, they'll know precisely who is voting now and who they still need to get to the polls. With proper analysis this already tells them the states they are on track to win and by how much, it also lets them know if they can move resources around to maximize gains. Of course you need sophisticated pollsters working for your campaign which Trump doesn't have at all.
Hillary's people can already tell you with a near certainty, in states that already have significant early voting data in, which states they will win. And they can use that data against Trump's campaign, who is flying blind, by getting him to flush money down the toilet in states he will not win.
Farmgirl1961
(1,494 posts)n/t