Latest in NV: Ds up to 24K statewide lead--UPDATED EVERY 10 MINUTES...

[riversedge]

I have seen his tweets before but have not checked out his blog till now.




Tweet:
Jon Ralston ?@RalstonReports 7m7 minutes ago

Latest in NV:
Ds up to 24K statewide lead
Washoe may be key
Clark firewall building
Both GOP House seats in jeopardy

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http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog


The Nevada Early Voting Blog


Jon Ralston
3:15 PM, Oct 21, 2016



10 mins ago
Show Off Your #CruiseSmile 10/26/16

Early voting so far looks very much like 2012, when the Democrats got off to a great start and never stopped building a lead. Update by Jon Ralston.
KTNV

UPDATED, 10/26/16, 10:30 AM



The latest SOS update shows a statewide raw vote lead of 23,874 for the Democrats. (It was 21,000 in 2012 at this time, but there are 200,000 more voters, so very close in percentages.) The percentages are 46-35. So Democrats are almost 7 points above their registration, and Republicans are 2 points above. This is why registration matters, and why that huge Democratic push at the end of registration, including getting that extension of time after warning the SOS, mattered so much.

What to watch:

--Enthusiasm gap seems obvious so far. This will kill down-ballot Republicans if it continues.

--GOP candidates will need indies to win, and they will need them big league. No evidence they are getting them.

--Hispanic turnout seems high so far in key precincts.

--The Washoe numbers are key, and Dems doing well there. It’s no accident major GOP surrogates have been going there — Graham, McCain, Pence. They know.......................

[Johnny2X2X]

1. And don't forget

Hillary has higher support among Dems than Dim Don has among Reps, so the lead is probably bigger.