2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum***SurveyUSA Poll: Clinton +3% in Florida***
http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/baynews9/news/article.html/content/news/articles/cfn/2016/10/25/florida_decides_polls_presidential_race.html"Just two weeks before the next U.S. president will be elected, the pivotal swing state of Florida could still go either way for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, a Bay News 9/News 13 Florida Decides exclusive poll has found.
Democrat Hillary Clinton has a slim lead over Republican Donald Trump 48 to 45 percent, in the race for the presidency, but 6 percent of the respondents say they would vote for a minor-party candidate if the election were held today, the exclusive statewide Florida Decides poll determined."
Democat
(11,617 posts)Users with less than 200 posts usually post outlier polls with Trump leading.
Users with more than 20,000 posts usually post mainstream polls with Clinton leading.
I wonder why?
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Ardoewaan
(144 posts)I am not offended. Then again, I don't post Trump winning outlier posts. It would take too long to find then!
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)riversedge
(70,296 posts)It's hilarious because CNN ignores this and just tweeted a Bloomberg Politics poll which has Trump up by 2 in Florida. They are deliberately trying to drive a narrative.
Chicago1980
(1,968 posts)It's close either way.
MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)She has tried to diversify outside Iowa and come with outlandish polls, remember Ohio +6, to get narrative, who knows she is a trumpster !
Ligyron
(7,639 posts)Morning Blow shows a poll w Dump 3 points ahead so it's basically a tie.
Folks in FL are going to vote Clinton in but it may be close. Long lines for early voting the last three days and this is at 7:00 am in Palm Beach county when I drop someone off at work.
We need to GOTV to bury Dump and Lil' Marco!!!
Vote by mail/absentee like I do and there's no lines and no nasty poll workers or fascists in the line to deal with - plus I know my vote will be counted since that's how a lot of RePugs choose to vote. There's also less chances for some operative to cancel your ballot since there are fewer people handling it in the process.
Imperialism Inc.
(2,495 posts)Every poll for a couple weeks has shown Clinton with a 3-4 point lead. It is very very unlikely that Florida would be on a razor's edge and yet show consistent leads for Clinton with only one poll showing Trump with a lead. Instead, that is consistent with a Clinton lead and one outlier poll. Also, early voting numbers strongly back up a solid Clinton lead.
Florida is in the bag as long as everyone votes.
NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)Trump's ground game and GOTV operation is almost non-existent. Clinton has a strong ground game. I suspect she will beat the polls in most states.
Proud liberal 80
(4,167 posts)But not the Bloomberg one. Why not report both. They also act like this is a big deal, but trump NEEDS Florida. Clinton doesn't
LisaL
(44,974 posts)People need to show up to vote.
Jon King
(1,910 posts)Like others have said, all the media is jumping on a poll that shows Trump ahead in Florida. CNN and others have also gone back to pro Trump and anti Hillary coverage like they did back when Hillary had a large lead post convention.
Its comical when Trump says the media is against him when they do everything they can to make this election a nail biter.