@NateSilver: Man, the polling's been uncannily consistent in Florida

[brooklynite]

[Dem2]

1. I was going to post the SUSA poll that just came out, but everybody can see it right there

The lack of variation in FL so far is interesting.

[geek tragedy]

2. Florida will be called by 10:00 EST nt

[Foggyhill]

3. Little variance means gotv and game over

Only a very depressed turnout could give Trump the win
Florida is true blue
Makes lots of other races irrelevant

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

4. Trump has alienated Hispanics and Jews

Two huge voting blocks in FLA, in addition to African Americans.

Only a Dick Scott rig job a'la Jeb in 2000 can save him.

[brooklynite]

10. Is it "Hispanics" on the East Coast, or "Latinos"

I've lost track...

[Awsi Dooger]

5. Strange because Florida is normally difficult to poll

Many different blocks of Hispanics and with varying political views.

The areas in Central Florida nearby Tampa to Orlando do seem to reveal how the state will vote. Maybe this year it's been consistent in those counties.

[onehandle]

6. Ohio has become irrelevant thanks to here in Pennsylvania.

Wait... Florida what?

[Agnosticsherbet]

13. A Quick Breakdown Of The Difference Between Hispanic, Latino And Spanish

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/difference-between-hispanic-latino-and-spanish_us_55a7ec20e4b0c5f0322c9e44
Luckily, Lazo explained how the terms differ. In short, “Hispanic” focuses on Spanish-speaking origin. This means Spain is included, but Brazil is not because Brazilians speak Portuguese. “Latino” refers to people of Latin American origin. This includes Brazil and excludes Spain.

[a kennedy]

17. Wow, had no idea regarding this......am keeping for future reference.....and thanks.

[helpisontheway]

7. I have noticed that Joe Scarborough..Mr. so called EXPERT

regarding Florida never mentions a Florida. He probably knows a Trump is gonna lose Florida.

[sarcasmo]

8. Wrong!

Rigged!

[Jarqui]

9. Media source alert .. FOX News but ...

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/10/25/early-voting-suggests-tight-race-in-key-states-despite-clinton-camp-boast.html

Early Florida numbers showed about an equal number of Democrats and Republicans had requested a record 3.1 million early ballots, compared with 2008 when Republicans led 49-to-32 percent and President Obama still won the state.

FOX tries to find a silver lining for the GOP there but I can't see it.

http://heavy.com/news/2016/10/early-voting-data-results-florida-state-by-state-turnout-north-carolina-ohio-trump-clinton-georgia-iowa-arizona-utah-texas-democrat-republican-colorado-nevada/

The Associated Press found Trump “holding ground in Ohio, Iowa and Georgia” and Clinton “showing strength” in Florida and North Carolina and doing well in Arizona and Colorado. Politico found that Democratic early voting in North Carolina and Florida was outpacing Barack Obama’s 2012 pace and Republican early voting was behind Mitt Romney’s pace – a trend seen in some other battleground states also.

Florida and North Carolina, in particular, could be pivotal, and Trump needs to exceed Romney’s results across the country to have a chance.

Trump can't win without Florida and he's doing worse in early voting than Romney & McCain with two weeks to go.

I'd suggest those results back up Nate.

[GulfCoast66]

11. Georgia entering this conversation

Tells the story. When it becomes a swing state the swing done swung.

[DemInND]

12. Polls won't change much now

With 13 days to go, and with people out in force early voting, I think most people have made up their mind. Hope Trump continues to shoot off is wind bag mouth to sway voters away from him. He's doing a great job! Early voting for my county begins next Monday. Give me a ballot and a nice sharpened pencil, let's start filling in "D" ovals!

[Dem2]

14. kick

for those posting the SUSA poll, it's contained above

[Johnny2X2X]

15. GOTV

Now is the critical time to GOTV, donate, volunteer. Hillary's campaign worked for a months all to have the pieces in the right spot for these last 13 days. It's like we've marched all the way down the field in football and we have a 1st and goal on the 2 yard line with less than a minute left in the game, we've done everything perfectly, just have to punch it in.

[Coyotl]

16. The blue trend will still show up before election, and on election day the ground effort will matter