aaand.. Real Clear Politics just moved Texas to a "Toss Up"

[misterhighwasted]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html





Compare Real Clear to Benchmark:

http://benchmark.shareblue.com/

[ProudProgressiveNow]

1. K&R nt

[yeoman6987]

2. I still can't get over how Minnesota is toss up....weird

[LeftInTX]

4. Lack of polling or old polls?

That's all I can think of. A rogue poll going way back....

[triron]

5. It's not.

[Proud liberal 80]

9. Minnesota

Was changed to toss up on Sept 26 because republican pollster gravis
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mn/minnesota_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6138.html

[Kingofalldems]

12. Oh I get it--tit for tat.

[Kingofalldems]

20. Whoa! Look at this poll. Shocking!

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/790345440285917184

[William769]

3. Real Clear is way off. There is not 150 as toss up.

[triron]

7. The Princeton Election consortium

just moved Iowa from pink to light blue. Only tossups on their site are Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina.

[Proud liberal 80]

6. Curious about Minnesota?

?

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

8. No way in hell is Minnesota a "toss-up."

We've gone GOP only 3 times since 1932 and it won't happen this time. They must be drunk at RCP.

[LisaL]

10. Also, it's not a given that Trump will win Utah.

Hillary might not win it either, as McMullin seems to be doing pretty well in there. But Trump might not get those electoral votes.

[Old Terp]

11. 538 has Hillary up by 7.9

Looks like they are adding Minnesota to counterbalance putting Texas in Toss-up group.

[Gothmog]

13. Yeah

[longship]

14. Just how does MN get to be a tossup?

Delusion, that's how!

[manicraven]

15. Washington should be dark, dark blue!

No way is Washington even slightly leaning towards Trump!

[Buckeye_Democrat]

16. I'm glad it's close, but I don't take RCP too seriously. Minnesota a toss-up? Pfft!

Nate Silver at 538 has a better track record:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

The Princeton Election Consortium looks accurate too:
http://www.270towin.com/maps/princeton-election-consortium

[ffr]

17. I would die if TX & GA turned blue this election, just to prove a point

That good people and love trumps hate.