Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

2016 Postmortem

triron

(22,006 posts) Sun Oct 16, 2016, 02:00 PM Oct 2016

11

Election consortium probabilities of HRC win: 98% (bayesian)

and 96% (random drift). Meta-margin 4.8

http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-meta-analysis/

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Election consortium probabilities of HRC win: 98% (bayesian) (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP

OK, we're getting closer to where we need to be. stone space Oct 2016 #1

And this does not take into account how insane Trump has become. Coyotl Oct 2016 #4

Thanks. Always good to see their info. elleng Oct 2016 #2

Too high imo Loki Liesmith Oct 2016 #3

stone space

(6,498 posts)

1. OK, we're getting closer to where we need to be.

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 02:01 PM

Oct 2016

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)

4. And this does not take into account how insane Trump has become.

Reply to stone space (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 03:02 PM

Oct 2016

If I lose, it is rigged, if I win, jail Hillary.

elleng

(130,918 posts)

2. Thanks. Always good to see their info.

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 02:12 PM

Oct 2016

We NEED the Senate, tho.

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

3. Too high imo

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 02:43 PM

Oct 2016

Reply to this discussion

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Election consortium proba...