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2016 Postmortem

Cattledog

(5,915 posts) Sun Oct 16, 2016, 11:32 AM Oct 2016

Anyone noticed that LA Times poll has the largest Margin of Error?

LA Times 4.5

ABC 4.0

NBC 3.3

CNN 3.0

Fox 3.0

3 replies

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Anyone noticed that LA Times poll has the largest Margin of Error? (Original Post) Cattledog Oct 2016 OP

Never trust a poll that polls everyday,because it's unscientific The Prince Of Truth Oct 2016 #1

I don't think you can say that... Adrahil Oct 2016 #2

This shit happens every cycle Dem2 Oct 2016 #3

The Prince Of Truth

(14 posts)

1. Never trust a poll that polls everyday,because it's unscientific

Reply to Cattledog (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 11:40 AM

Oct 2016

LA Times poll is not a scientific poll because they poll the same people every night and Nate silver corrects the poll every time it's released on his 538 blog.

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

2. I don't think you can say that...

Reply to The Prince Of Truth (Reply #1)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 12:32 PM

Oct 2016

It IS a scientific poll, but it is a poll that has made some unusual modelling decisions. One reason the MOE is so large is because of the very small slices they make demographically. I think it extremely likely to be wrong, and I think there's lots of evidence to back that up, but I usually think it's bad idea to throw data out.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)

3. This shit happens every cycle

Reply to Cattledog (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 12:39 PM

Oct 2016

There's always some dipshit pollster trying to do it differently.

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