2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLooks like Romney has the nomination in the bag.
I found this cool interactive feature on the NYT politics section:
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/fivethirtyeight/romney-probabilities?ref=politics
You and look at each candidate, see how many delegates they need, and look at the probability they will win them. You can even adjust the percentage of delegates you think they will win AND the margin of error.
Try it out for yourself. Even in the worst case scenario, it looks like Mittens has it.
left on green only
(1,484 posts)that no one gets it? Otherwise, other than our need for entertainment, why is the race still going on?
Yavin4
(35,445 posts)Romney has strapped the Republican party to the roof of his car and he's heading towards oblivion.
MannyGoldstein
(34,589 posts)Thanks!
bowens43
(16,064 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)I think if Santorum and Gingrich both stay in and the Romney gaffe machine continues, then its very likely he wont win the remaining 46%. The big question is will someone drop out.
and-justice-for-all
(14,765 posts)I just want to see Obama hand them their ass on national telly.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Arkana
(24,347 posts)But it's still fun to watch him get bloodied and beaten on the way there. And he has had to do and say some crazy shit to get it--I guarantee you that Team Obama will not allow the American people to forget.
Johnny2X2X
(19,095 posts)I remember in the past that defeated candidates control their delegates. If this is true, then Romney if he doesn't get to 1144 will have to persuade one of the other candidates to pledge him the delegates that they have. If Romney does not get to 1144 then he wins nothing.
Also, couldn't Santorum and Newt strike a deal before the convention where they combine their delegates so one of them could win and the other is promised the VP?
mackattack
(344 posts)I know they changed a bunch of rules because they were unhappy that 2008 gave them McCain. SOme of the rules are on the wiki page.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2012
I will ask your question in the Politics 2012 forum and post the link to you as a reply.