2016 Postmortem

speaktruthtopower

(800 posts) Thu Oct 13, 2016, 03:50 PM Oct 2016

Trump Rebound? An Outlier?

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct13

16 replies

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Trump Rebound? An Outlier? (Original Post) speaktruthtopower Oct 2016 OP

Spellcheck: outliar central scrutinizer Oct 2016 #1

Definately outlier - that poll needs a +7 Clinton correction Joe941 Oct 2016 #3

A rassie poll? Gothmog Oct 2016 #4

Rasmussen only a C+ poll rating according to 538 pkdu Oct 2016 #5

Rasumssen was rated as the least accurate pollster of 2012 Doctor Jack Oct 2016 #7

Rasmussen doesn't weigh its samples according to the population, so their results are meaningless. stevenleser Oct 2016 #8

This message was self-deleted by its author kestrel91316 Oct 2016 #9

Razzy again MFM008 Oct 2016 #10

Raspuken? DCBob Oct 2016 #12

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! Dem2 Oct 2016 #15

Look at poll aggregators, not individual polls. pnwmom Oct 2016 #16

Dec 1969 #

central scrutinizer

(11,652 posts)

1. Spellcheck: outliar

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 03:51 PM

Oct 2016

Joe941

(2,848 posts)

3. Definately outlier - that poll needs a +7 Clinton correction

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 03:54 PM

Oct 2016

Gothmog

(145,321 posts)

4. A rassie poll?

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 04:00 PM

Oct 2016

Rassie polls are by definition outliers

pkdu

(3,977 posts)

5. Rasmussen only a C+ poll rating according to 538

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 04:01 PM

Oct 2016

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/

who then corrects rasmussen to Clinton winning by 1

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)

7. Rasumssen was rated as the least accurate pollster of 2012

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 04:08 PM

Oct 2016

The averages are showing something wildly different. Nate Silver has stated today that polls are getting even worse for trump. If Rasmussen is showing something different then the problem is with rasmussen

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)

8. Rasmussen doesn't weigh its samples according to the population, so their results are meaningless.

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 04:11 PM

Oct 2016

They oversample Republicans and undersample Democrats.

Response to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

kestrel91316 This message was self-deleted by its author.

MFM008

(19,816 posts)

10. Razzy again

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 04:12 PM

Oct 2016

Zzzzzzzzzzzz

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

12. Raspuken?

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 09:14 PM

Oct 2016

Dem2

(8,168 posts)

15. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 10:09 PM

Oct 2016

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512504949

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)

16. Look at poll aggregators, not individual polls.

Reply to speaktruthtopower (Original post)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 11:04 PM

Oct 2016

The NYTimes aggregates polls; and so do 538, HuffPost, and RealClearPolitics, among others.

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