Trump falls below 31% in Michigan. Clinton up by 12

[riversedge]

Evan Smith ?@evanasmith 16h16 hours ago

Trump falls below 31% in Michigan. Clinton up by 12


Poll: Clinton widens Mich. lead as Trump support slides



Chad Livengood, Detroit News Lansing Bureau 6:10 p.m. EDT October 12, 2016
Mich_Prez_Poll_10-12-16_WEB_DISPLAY

(Photo: Brandy Baker/Mandel Nganmandel The Detroit News/Getty Images)

Donald Trump’s support in Michigan is showing signs of collapse as Democrat Hillary Clinton widens her lead to nearly 12 percentage points in a new statewide poll released to The Detroit News and WDIV.

Clinton led Trump 42.2 percent to 30.6 percent in a four-way poll of 600 likely state voters conducted after the second debate Sunday night. It followed last weekend’s GOP crisis over a decade-old recording of Trump making sexually aggressive comments about women.

When asked, 1 in 4 Republicans surveyed said their billionaire nominee should drop out of the presidential race. .............................

“He is continuing to hemorrhage support..................


The Monday-Tuesday poll reveals “a lurking tsunami out there for the Republicans” running for Congress, the Michigan House of Representatives and other local offices, said Czuba, president of the Lansing-based Glengariff Group.
................................

Among all women, Clinton holds a nearly 2-to-1 advantage, 48 percent to Trump’s 24.6 percent, a historically low amount of support from female voters, he said.

[treestar]

1. Looks like Hillary, Stein and Johnson and Don't know

all gained at Don the Con's expense.

[riversedge]

3. "Czuba said he has never seen such a wide enthusiasm gap between the two parties."

I barely hear anything about enthusiasm last several weeks.


..........................Voters were asked to rank their enthusiasm on a scale of 1 to 10. Strong Republican voters scored an average of 5.3, while strong Democrats clocked in at 6.7 percent.

Czuba said he has never seen such a wide enthusiasm gap between the two parties.

“Typically the two bases track very close to each other in their motivation,” he said. “And that’s not happening anymore. A lot of people are becoming disgusted by this election.”

Hoekstra said Trump can reverse his decline by contrasting his policies on immigration, the economy, renegotiating international trade pacts and combating the Islamic State terror group.

[treestar]

4. yes and whoever Hoekstra is they are wrong

it is way too late for Don the Con to reverse his decline. And certainly not in the way Hoekstra describes, as that is beyond the Talking Yam's abilities.

[riversedge]

5. That would be Pete H. a former teabagger Representative from MI who also wrote a book on Lybia tha

I am sure he is spoon feeding Donald with its content.

[treestar]

6. For the length of the Donald's

Attention span which extends to Libya. Disaster.

[riversedge]

7. Well, donny added Serbia to his Hillary hit list today with his apology

[LiberalFighter]

2. I'm trying to figure out a scenario that results in Trump dropping to below 15%

And Johnson becomes eligible for the last debate. But if that happened it might result in voters thinking Trump isn't that bad after all.

[riversedge]

8. 538 prediction forMI: GREAT--but says Senate losing ground in MI!!...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast



President

12 min. ago
Senate

24 min. ago
Analysis

1 hour ago

We’re forecasting the election with three models

Polls-plus forecast

What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8

Polls-only forecast

What polls alone tell us about Nov. 8

Now-cast

Who would win the election if it were held today

National overview

Updates •

National polls •

States to watch

Arizona

Colorado

Florida •

Georgia

Iowa

Maine •

Michigan

Minnesota

Nevada •

New Hampshire •

North Carolina •

Ohio •

Pennsylvania •

Virginia •

Wisconsin •

All states

Alabama

Alaska

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

D.C.

Florida •

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine •

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri •

Montana

Nebraska

Nevada •

New Hampshire •

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Carolina •

North Dakota

Ohio •

Oklahoma

Oregon

Pennsylvania •

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah •

Vermont

Virginia •

Washington

West Virginia

Wisconsin •

Wyoming

Who will win the presidency?

Chance of winning
FiveThirtyEight

Hillary Clinton

86.9%

Donald Trump

13.1%
FiveThirtyEight
ALAKAZARCACO FLGAHIIDILINIAKSKYLAME MIMNMSMOMTNENV NMNYNCNDOHOKORPA SCSDTNTXUT VAWAWVWIWYVTNHMARICTNJDEMDDC

Key

50%

60

70

80

90

Clinton

Trump

Tipping points
Electoral votes

Hillary Clinton

343.1

Donald Trump

194.5

Gary Johnson

0.2

Evan McMullin

0.2
Popular vote

Hillary Clinton

49.4%

Donald Trump

42.7%

Gary Johnson

6.4%

Other

1.5%
How the forecast has changed

We'll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. 8.
June 8JulyAug.Sept.Oct.Nov.0255075100%Election DayNov. 8▼<0.1%Johnson<0.1%Johnson13.1%Trump13.1%Trump86.9%Clinton86.9%Clinton

Key

Average

80% chance of falling in range
Our latest coverage
1 hour ago
Senate Update: Clinton Is Surging, But Down-Ballot Democrats Are Losing Ground

By Harry Enten