Bloomberg Poll: HRC: 51% Racist/Groper: 42% in Pennsylvania
Clinton has 51 percent to Trumps 42 percent in a two-way race statewide, with her margin swelling to 28 percentage points in four suburban counties that were once reliably Republican, according to a Bloomberg Politics poll conducted Friday through Tuesday after the videos release.
Clintons suburban advantage is 18 points larger than President Barack Obamas winning margin there in 2012, meaning that to match Clintons strength in those counties and in urban areas, Trump would have to dramatically improve on his 11-point lead in the rest of the state. Losing Pennsylvanias 20 Electoral College votes would sharply curtail his paths to the White House.
In a contest that will help determine control of the U.S. Senate, Democrat Katie McGinty is roughly even with Republican incumbent Pat Toomey, 47 percent to 45 percent, and, like Clinton, is doing better in the suburbs than statewide.
While Clintons strength was long assured in the urban Democratic strongholds of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, her fight with Trump would typically be expected to be more competitive in these four suburban counties, which accounted for 22 percent of the states vote in 2012. Instead, she carries almost every demographic group tested there, including women 67 percent to 24 percent in the two-way race.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-13/pennsylvania-poll