2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPayback: Dems see chance to boot Issa
Democrats think they have a realistic shot in November of taking down Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.), who made life miserable for the Obama administration after Republicans took back the House in 2010.
Theyd love to send the former House Oversight Committee chairman packing, and are looking to their candidate, retired Marine Colonel Doug Applegate, to make it happen.
The demographics of Issa's affluent suburban district suggest it wont be favorable territory for GOP nominee Donald Trump, potentially giving Applegate a chance.
Issa's San Diego-area district is more diverse than ever, with a larger number of Hispanics and younger voters precisely the groups that are turning away from Trump, according to surveys.
Nonpartisan analysts say Issa is still slightly favored to win, given his 15-year incumbency. Republicans also have an 8-point edge over Democrats in voter registration in the district. But if Trumps candidacy flames out on Election Day, he could take scores of congressional Republicans down with him. The best-case scenario for Democrats would be if GOP voters disillusioned with Trump decide not to show up on Election Day and independent voters choose their candidates.
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http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/300719-payback-dems-see-chance-to-boot-issa