2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum538 Polls-Plus probability now at all-time high.
Polls-plus at 80.9% at this posting. Polls-only and Now-Cast not at all-time highs yet, but may be headed there. Let's keep this going, folks!
NoGoodNamesLeft
(2,056 posts)And toss ups are getting darker and darker blue. By the looks of Now Cast Georgia could potentially flip.
Johnny2X2X
(19,114 posts)This is a massive trend and it's just starting. And Trump has one more debate to try to stop the trend because he certainly isn't going to reverse it.
The last debate is next Wednesday, by then Trump will be so desperate that anything is possible for that night. If he's down 10 in the RCP average, and less than 10% in all the odds sites, he is going to be like a cornered animal.
Here's the thing he doesn't get, winning an election takes a dogged and workman like effort of being disciplined and staying on message day after day. There are no short cuts and you can't wait for a game changer or try to create one.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)How he thinks this will help is mystery. It really does lend credence to the idea that he is establishing a post-election customer base, rather than actually trying to win at this point.
Tommy_Carcetti
(43,198 posts)Georgia and South Carolina, come on.
Let's turn I-95 blue, from Maine to Miami.
misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)PRESIDENT FORECAST
ELECTORAL VOTES
10/11/2016
D
CLINTON - 95% chance of winning
324
R
TRUMP - 5% chance of winning
214
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)At this point we're at a solid 268.
We only need one state out of Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, or Ohio, but we can't win without at least one.
Of course, if we take Florida, NC, and NH, the election will be essentially over