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2016 Postmortem

triron

(22,020 posts) Mon Oct 10, 2016, 11:19 PM Oct 2016

Someone tell me why

Sam Wang dropped HRC win probability from 96% to 93%???

2 replies

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Someone tell me why (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP

I was going to ask Lefthacker Oct 2016 #1

Interesting, but not watching things today, so coming to this late, a thought: elleng Oct 2016 #2

Lefthacker

(264 posts)

1. I was going to ask

Reply to triron (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 11:20 PM

Oct 2016

The same thing. Meta margin went from 4 to 3.3 as well.

elleng

(131,129 posts)

2. Interesting, but not watching things today, so coming to this late, a thought:

Reply to triron (Original post)

Mon Oct 10, 2016, 11:27 PM

Oct 2016

While trump did badly in the 'debate,' some may think because he didn't actually implode/explode, he didn't do AS badly as expected; hence Wang's 3 point 'drop' for HRC???

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