Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 08:19 AM Oct 2016

Poll: Clinton retakes 11-point lead over Trump in Michigan

http://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2016/10/06/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-michigan/91611112/

WASHINGTON — Three weeks after it looked like Donald Trump could challenge Hillary Clinton in Michigan, it now appears the Republican nominee may have squandered that chance with a poor debate performance, revelations about his taxes and erratic behavior on the campaign trail, an exclusive new Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll shows.

The poll showed Clinton, the Democratic nominee and former secretary of state, regaining an 11-percentage-point lead over Trump, 43%-32%, and clawing back levels of support among key voting blocs including women, African Americans and millennials. It came less than a month after a more-disciplined Trump had closed the gap to 3 percentage points in Michigan, which hasn’t voted for a Republican presidential nominee since 1988.

The poll, meanwhile, showed clear momentum for Clinton heading into the home stretch among increasingly important demographic groups in Michigan.

For instance, a month ago, as questions about her health dogged her as she went off the campaign trail briefly due to a bout of pneumonia, Clinton’s support among black voters in Michigan dropped to 74% — far below the 95% of support Obama got in the last election — and 14% undecided. This poll, however, showed 86% of black voters supporting her and Trump getting no more than 2% of that vote despite his outreach in visits to Detroit and Flint to dig into that support. Only 5% of African-American voters remained undecided, the poll said.

Trump’s chances of winning in Michigan and elsewhere despite that are further hurt by an inability to attract more support from whites as well: The poll indicated that Clinton was leading among whites 41%-32% in Michigan, compared to 10% for Johnson and 12% undecided. In the last election, exit polls showed Republican nominee Mitt Romney beating Obama among whites in Michigan by 11 percentage points — and still losing by 9 percentage points overall in the state.

Three weeks ago, Trump also had taken a clear step toward neutralizing the gender gap facing his campaign, taking a 5-percentage-point lead among men and cutting Clinton’s clear lead among women to 10 percentage points.
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Poll: Clinton retakes 11-point lead over Trump in Michigan (Original Post) book_worm Oct 2016 OP
Trump's improbable paths are drying up. Adrahil Oct 2016 #1
Hopefully we will seal the deal in Sunday's debate. book_worm Oct 2016 #2
Wow 11 points! workinclasszero Oct 2016 #3
This is wonderful! Awesome! Go, Michigan! writes3000 Oct 2016 #4
He was never going to win Michigan Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #5
sure hope it extends safeinOhio Oct 2016 #6

Johnny2X2X

(19,114 posts)
5. He was never going to win Michigan
Thu Oct 6, 2016, 09:13 AM
Oct 2016

He was baited into wasting a ton of time and resources here. He's visited several times in the last several weeks and his ads have been running here steadily.

Hillary's team has probably tried to bait Trump's into this, possibly signaling that they were worried about Michigan and Wisconsin knowing their own polling showed those 2 states safe as ever. Hillary and her campaign have been in FL, CO, NV, PA, NC, VA, and OH almost exclusively while Trump has been running around MI, WI, MN, and NH as much as the states Hillary has been blanketing.

Like I've been saying, Hillary and her team are leaving nothing to chance.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Poll: Clinton retakes 11-...