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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum538: HRC 75.5%, Donald 24.5% - IA & AZ move towards blue
Her numbers are still improving. Which means that Trump is still falling.
Expected margin
IA - 0.4 Trump
AZ - 1.9 Trump
All the others are solidifying blue for HRC.
Florida D+2.0%
Pennsylvania D+5.2%
Michigan D+5.9%
North Carolina D+1.3%
Ohio D+0.4%
Colorado D+5.0%
Virginia D+6.8%
Wisconsin D+6.1%
Minnesota D+6.2%
Nevada D+2.2%
New Hampshire D+5.6
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538: HRC 75.5%, Donald 24.5% - IA & AZ move towards blue (Original Post)
ffr
Oct 2016
OP
chillfactor
(7,580 posts)1. still hoping Arizona will go for Hillary n/t
is already light blue in his now cast.
Could go blue befor OH or IA. Alicia Machado will hurt trump in AZ.
ffr
(22,671 posts)4. Teflon Clinton sees poll bounce after VP debate.
Perhaps not perfectly represented in polling data, but her upward trend continues.
Now at 76.2 in their Polls Only forecast. IA at 0.2% in Trump's favor and she's not even there at rallies.
zenabby
(364 posts)5. Looking at you IA, AZ and GA . You can do it