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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 01:04 PM Oct 2016

******BREAKING BATTLEGROUND OHIO POLL****** CLINTON 44% TRUMP 42%

Kasich’s anti-Trump stand still popular

West Long Branch, NJ - Hillary Clinton holds a slim 2 point lead over Donald Trump in the perennial battleground state of Ohio, compared to a 4 point lead in mid-August. At the same time, incumbent U.S. Senator Rob Portman has expanded his margin over former governor Ted Strickland from 8 points to 15 points now. The Monmouth University Poll also finds that current governor John Kasich's standing has not been hurt by his continued opposition to Trump's candidacy.

Among Ohio voters likely to cast ballots in November's presidential election, 44% currently support Clinton and 42% back Trump. Another 5% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, who will appear as an independent on the ballot, 1% are supporting Jill Stein of the Green Party, and 6% are undecided. In mid-August, Clinton led Trump by 43% to 39%, with Johnson at 10% and Stein registering less than a percent.

Clinton is not doing quite as well as Barack Obama did four years ago among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters (73% to 15% for Trump compared with 84% for Obama to 14% for Mitt Romney in 2012). Likewise, Trump is not doing quite as well with white voters (48% to 39% for Clinton) as Romney did (57% to 41% for Obama). These results have not changed substantially since August.

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_OH_100516/

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******BREAKING BATTLEGROUND OHIO POLL****** CLINTON 44% TRUMP 42% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2016 OP
Not that Ohio is a must molova Oct 2016 #1
Lebron James michiganman1019 Oct 2016 #2
Effect is the correct word. CaliforniaPeggy Oct 2016 #3
Hot diggety dog!!! Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #4
As an Ohio resident.... Hachetman Oct 2016 #23
As an Ohio resident...hell yeah!!!! nt Demsrule86 Oct 2016 #34
Hell yeah vadermike Oct 2016 #5
YES! Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2016 #6
Thus, justifying the 538 model. Adrahil Oct 2016 #7
Iowa triron Oct 2016 #15
Excellent news! n/t progressoid Oct 2016 #28
Up 7 MFM008 Oct 2016 #8
Oh I do hope that Karl Rove is at the Fox News desk on election night as Ohio goes blue. yellowcanine Oct 2016 #9
With Megyn Kelly telling him to STFU again. Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2016 #10
Favorite.moment.ever. Happyhippychick Oct 2016 #11
Yes and I know I am a greedy person for wanting it to happen all over again. yellowcanine Oct 2016 #13
Karl Rove knows full well that this election was effectively over months ago alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #12
Yes, Rove has been quieter than murielm99 Oct 2016 #16
He would... Hachetman Oct 2016 #24
YES! Come on Ohio! ffr Oct 2016 #14
Bernie again? Oh, please. murielm99 Oct 2016 #17
Yes Bernie too, as last time I checked. ffr Oct 2016 #19
Say what??? elmac Oct 2016 #20
And here on DU elmac Oct 2016 #21
I certainly hope that is not a threat. murielm99 Oct 2016 #25
I never called you names elmac Oct 2016 #29
Do whatever you feel you must. murielm99 Oct 2016 #30
I won't bother DU today elmac Oct 2016 #33
Yes, get used to it LiberalLovinLug Oct 2016 #22
Very well said! elmac Oct 2016 #31
Come on that is a bit harsh... Demsrule86 Oct 2016 #36
Dean has remained a good Democrat. murielm99 Oct 2016 #37
I respect him too...and at the time supported Kerry after Dean bowed out. Demsrule86 Oct 2016 #40
With the number of mainstream repug elmac Oct 2016 #18
K & R SunSeeker Oct 2016 #26
Trump buying China Steel Barry Flock Oct 2016 #27
Fired up!! C_U_L8R Oct 2016 #32
By the way, I've always liked your avatar! Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2016 #35
:-) C_U_L8R Oct 2016 #39
K&R mcar Oct 2016 #38
 

molova

(543 posts)
1. Not that Ohio is a must
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 01:07 PM
Oct 2016

But it's good news that one of Trump's most friendly states in recent times has flipped to Hillary. Great news!

CaliforniaPeggy

(149,678 posts)
3. Effect is the correct word.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 01:17 PM
Oct 2016

We normally use affect this way: A hot day will affect what you wear.

Welcome to DU, michiganman1019!

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,855 posts)
6. YES!
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 01:38 PM
Oct 2016

I found the Quinnipiac poll a little suspicious the other day when it claimed Trump was beating Clinton among independent voters here by 19%! That was way out of line for independents across the country!

From the OP's link:

Clinton is not doing quite as well as Barack Obama did four years ago among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters (73% to 15% for Trump compared with 84% for Obama to 14% for Mitt Romney in 2012). Likewise, Trump is not doing quite as well with white voters (48% to 39% for Clinton) as Romney did (57% to 41% for Obama). These results have not changed substantially since August.


It might help if Urban Meyer endorsed Clinton! Lol. I bet he'll stay out of it, though. He endorsed Kasich over Trump back in March, I think.
 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
7. Thus, justifying the 538 model.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 01:40 PM
Oct 2016

I have a BoB frenemy that thold me 538 is "stupid" because they show Ohio in light blue, despite no recent polls showing HRC in the lead. I explained that the model both uses state polls to model the national race AND national polls to estimate state positions, but NOOOO.... Nate is in the tank for HRC.

Here's an example. The nationals indicate HRC should have a SLIGHT lead in Ohio. And here we go.

yellowcanine

(35,701 posts)
9. Oh I do hope that Karl Rove is at the Fox News desk on election night as Ohio goes blue.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 02:28 PM
Oct 2016

Again. I want to see him sputtering about "all the Republican votes still out there" all over again. Please Goddess make it happen and I will never ask for anything else again.

Happyhippychick

(8,379 posts)
11. Favorite.moment.ever.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 02:35 PM
Oct 2016

He looked like Porky Pig with flop sweat. And he made Megyn go interview the poor slobs at the decision desk, it was so hilarious.

yellowcanine

(35,701 posts)
13. Yes and I know I am a greedy person for wanting it to happen all over again.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 02:43 PM
Oct 2016

Maybe it will be Rudy Giuliani who does the honors this time. That would be sweet.

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
12. Karl Rove knows full well that this election was effectively over months ago
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 02:40 PM
Oct 2016

He's planning a 2020 run with Kasich, and staying as far away from this trainwreck of a campaign as he can.

ffr

(22,671 posts)
14. YES! Come on Ohio!
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 02:51 PM
Oct 2016

We need every vote in every state to give HRC & Bernie the congress they need to lead!

murielm99

(30,754 posts)
17. Bernie again? Oh, please.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:11 PM
Oct 2016

He is running as an independent and is not the leader of the Democrats in the Senate. The primary is over. Please support Democrats on the Democratic Underground.

ffr

(22,671 posts)
19. Yes Bernie too, as last time I checked.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:19 PM
Oct 2016

He caucuses with the Democrats in the Senate, regardless of political affiliation. He'll play a roll in helping Hillary pass her agenda.

Stronger Together.

 

elmac

(4,642 posts)
20. Say what???
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:21 PM
Oct 2016

Bernie has always caucused with the Dems and is going around the country this week campaigning for Hill (will be in MI all day and night Thursday). He has done more for progressive ideals then all other candidates put together. I would gladly vote for Senator Sanders if I lived in VT.

 

elmac

(4,642 posts)
21. And here on DU
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:30 PM
Oct 2016

we can support anyone with progressive views. Remarks made against real progressives like Senator Sanders could be viewed as divisive and only hurts Secretary Clinton.

murielm99

(30,754 posts)
25. I certainly hope that is not a threat.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:43 PM
Oct 2016

I have been here a long time. Because of that, I know we are allowed to criticize and discuss members of our own party and our supporters. You seem very thin-skinned.

 

elmac

(4,642 posts)
29. I never called you names
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 04:30 PM
Oct 2016

but you just called me a name which is against DU rules so do you want to remove the post or should I contact DU. Just because you have more posts then me doesn't give you that right!!!

murielm99

(30,754 posts)
30. Do whatever you feel you must.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 04:37 PM
Oct 2016

And there it is: another threat because I spoke my mind. Oh, well.

LiberalLovinLug

(14,175 posts)
22. Yes, get used to it
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:35 PM
Oct 2016

Bernie and the platform he ran on, had the support of over 40% of the Democratic base. He also helped craft Hilary's platform. Hillary has said she wants to work with Bernie to implement this platform. So either you think Hillary is lying and has no intentions of working with Bernie (and support that), or you think that Democrats can afford, in this tight race, to snub their noses at Bernie and those that think the issues he brought up were important.

Some old Bernie supporters have jumped ship completely. But most are following his lead and are supporting Hillary. That range of support spans those that have switched to unequivocally back her to those that will hold their noses while they vote in order to avoid a national catastrophe. But there is a caveat either way, whether you like it or not. IF she wins this election, she will have a tough time in four years if Bernie and that 40 something percent feels she betrayed her promises and thus betrayed 99% of the population. And they will let it be known, as well they should.

 

elmac

(4,642 posts)
31. Very well said!
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 04:38 PM
Oct 2016

Some comments on DU seem to be very anti progressive, lets hope those posts don't dissuade people on DU from voting.

murielm99

(30,754 posts)
37. Dean has remained a good Democrat.
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 04:59 PM
Oct 2016

He accepted his loss and continued to work for the Democratic Party. I did not support him for President, but I will always respect him.

 

elmac

(4,642 posts)
18. With the number of mainstream repug
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:16 PM
Oct 2016

newspapers and people around the country going on record against Thump I don't see how he can even last one hour on election night before the election is called for HRC.

Barry Flock

(1 post)
27. Trump buying China Steel
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 03:54 PM
Oct 2016

Trump using Chinese Steel needs to be a big campaign talking point in Ohio and other " Rust Belt "
states . Use what he's proud of , make him respond to this.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,855 posts)
35. By the way, I've always liked your avatar!
Wed Oct 5, 2016, 04:54 PM
Oct 2016

It was diminished for me temporarily when Trump smiled in the following video, reminding me of that cat, but that's obviously silly! It's still a cute cat picture!



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