HRC opens 10-point national lead in new poll.

[book_worm]

9-point in four way race...

Fairleigh Dickinson University, October 5, 2016 – In the race for the White House, the most recent national survey of likely voters from Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind finds Democrat Hillary Clinton with a ten-point lead over Republican Donald Trump. However, if Clinton were instead facing Trump’s running mate, Mike Pence, the race would be a statistical dead heat. If Trump were up against Clinton’s running mate, Tim Kaine, he would fare even worse than he is against the former Secretary of State.

Right now, half of all likely voters (50%) say that if the election were held today, they would vote for Clinton. Forty percent would vote for Trump. When third-party candidates are included among the list of candidates, Clinton and Trump both experience a four percent reduction in support - Clinton to 46 percent and Trump to 36 percent.

“The post-presidential debate landscape is clearly favoring Clinton. Trump’s continued weight shaming of a former Miss Universe and the weekend disclosure of his 1995 tax returns are but a sample of difficult news coverage for the Republican candidate,” said Krista Jenkins, professor of political science and director of the FDU poll, PublicMind.

Trump is the most competitive among whites (47%) and those whose education did not go beyond high school (46%). Clinton’s lead among women looks almost insurmountable, with over half of women (56%) favoring her over Trump (32%).

http://view2.fdu.edu/publicmind/2016/161005/

[BigDemVoter]

1. Whew. It SHOULD be a 50 point lead, but you can't cure stupidity.

[Wounded Bear]

4. I really, really want her to get over 50%

I really, really do. I want a mandate, and the Senate, and the fucking House, too.

I want it all.

[AmericanMan1958]

8. Agree!!

And don't forget the Supreme Court!
We have lived 50 years under a conservative Supreme Court!
Now that would be a change, you could believe in!!!

[Wounded Bear]

11. The USSC will come after we flip the Senate...nt

[AmericanMan1958]

13. Agree!!

Count me In!!

[Stuart G]

2. A very powerfull lead, and I think will get larger...k and r..nt

[Democat]

3. Hopefully her lead will keep growing

The GOP would have to pull support for Trump and try to save the Senate.

[Johnny2X2X]

5. A rated poll on 538

Fairleigh Dickinson University Poll has an A rating and shows a bias of 0.0 according to 538.

NICE!

[book_worm]

15. Good to hear

[geek tragedy]

6. almost certainly an outlier, but it's a LOT better to be on the high end of that kind of margin

If Clinton's ahead by 4-6, you'd expect to see a random poll here or there showing her up 10 and another showing it near tie, just based on probabilities.

[Johnny2X2X]

12. She is ahead by more than 4

Take away the LA Times and the Breitbart-Gravis Poll and Hillary is at least a +5.

It's more accurate to call her lead 5-8 points than 4-6.

[Wounded Bear]

7. And both of our candidates beat both of their candidates...

Although Clinton should have a bigger lead over that weasel Pence.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

9. What would Hillary be polling if a) she had an eyepatch and b) Trump's had balloon hands?

Clearly this poll covered all hypotheticals.

[C_U_L8R]

10. Double digits!

If we keep working hard, we can really get the landslide Hillary deserves.

[Adrahil]

14. Pretty small sample on this one, but I'll take it.

Both RCP and 538 use the LATimes and CVoter polls, which have a pretty large bias in Trumps direction (as compared to the mean). Having our own outlier helps counterbalance that.