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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Mon Oct 3, 2016, 01:05 PM Oct 2016

*****BREAKING BATTLEGROUND COLORADO POLL***** CLINTON 49% TRUMP 38%

Hillary Clinton holds an 11 point lead over Donald Trump in Colorado, which is nearly identical to the 13 point advantage she had when Monmouth University polled the state in mid-July. In the contest for U.S. Senate, the Monmouth University Poll finds that Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet has widened his lead over Republican challenger Darryl Glenn to 18 points.

Among Colorado voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 49% currently support Clinton and 38% back Trump. Another 7% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 3% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and 3% are undecided. In mid-July, the race stood at Clinton 48%, Trump 35%, Johnson 5%, and Stein 3%.

SNIP

Among self-identified Democrats, 95% support Clinton - similar to 93% in July. Among self-identified Republicans, 90% support Trump - up from 78% in July. Clinton has widened her lead among independents - 49% to 26% now, compared with 40% to 28% in July.

Clinton also has an overwhelming lead among Hispanic, black, and Asian voters (71% to 17%) as well as a slight lead among white voters (45% to 42%). These dynamics are basically unchanged from July when she had a 66% to 15% lead among non-white voters and a 44% to 38% edge among white voters.

Clinton has lost some support among women voters, but this has been made up for by a swing in her favor by male voters. Women back Clinton over Trump by 49% to 36% and men support her by a 48% to 41% margin. In July, Clinton had a larger lead among women voters (56% to 30%), but men were divided (39% Clinton and 40% Trump).






Colorado voters continue to hold a more negative view of Trump than Clinton. Fewer than 4-in-10 (37%) have a favorable opinion of Clinton while 51% hold an unfavorable view of her. However, only 29% have a favorable opinion of Trump while 63% hold an unfavorable view of him. Both of these results have changed little since July.

Clinton has a slight edge over Trump on being seen as someone who understands the concerns of typical voters. While Colorado voters are divided on whether Clinton has this characteristic - 47% say she does and 50% say she doesn't - fewer see Trump as someone who understands the day to day concerns of people like them - 38% say he does and 60% say he doesn't.

Clinton has an even wider advantage on the issue of presidential temperament - something that has been dominating the news since last week's debate. Twice as many voters say Clinton has the right temperament for the job (61%) compared to those who say the same about Trump (31%).

SNIP

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 29 to October 2, 2016 with 400 Colorado residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of + 4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_CO_100316
23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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*****BREAKING BATTLEGROUND COLORADO POLL***** CLINTON 49% TRUMP 38% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2016 OP
"Do a little dance! Make a little love! Get down tonight! Get down tonight!" writes3000 Oct 2016 #1
Good news! gademocrat7 Oct 2016 #2
Get it to Nate Silver bluestateguy Oct 2016 #3
Ouch alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #4
Very good news book_worm Oct 2016 #5
If Hillary holds the regular blue states and wins VA and CO she wins Renew Deal Oct 2016 #6
there may be hope for this state yet. niyad Oct 2016 #7
With numbers like that, its hardly fair to call it a "battleground" state. progressoid Oct 2016 #8
Holding CO/VA effectively cuts off Trump's WH path. SaschaHM Oct 2016 #9
This message was self-deleted by its author Democrats Ascendant Oct 2016 #10
exactly, if she holds CO,PA,VA,NH - game over, radius777 Oct 2016 #23
lol clearly the kind of dead-heat horse race where anything could happen 0rganism Oct 2016 #11
A typical headline in this scenario Charles Bukowski Oct 2016 #12
K&R! napkinz Oct 2016 #13
MSM can't keep saying the race has tightened mcar Oct 2016 #14
They were still saying that as of this morning..... Cryptoad Oct 2016 #16
Sheesh mcar Oct 2016 #18
Good, good news! mountain grammy Oct 2016 #15
How sweet it is! MoonRiver Oct 2016 #17
The flip side to this undeniable good news. BobTheSubgenius Oct 2016 #19
People who are voting for the Supreme Court explains most of it. MoonRiver Oct 2016 #21
You have made me a happy camper!! Peacetrain Oct 2016 #20
Yay! Keep it up, Colorado! Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2016 #22

progressoid

(49,991 posts)
8. With numbers like that, its hardly fair to call it a "battleground" state.
Mon Oct 3, 2016, 01:24 PM
Oct 2016

I think the battle is over for Trump there.

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)
9. Holding CO/VA effectively cuts off Trump's WH path.
Mon Oct 3, 2016, 01:27 PM
Oct 2016

He would have to win every battleground state and flip NH or PA, states that are polling strong for Clinton. 35~ days to go. (I'll also finally have my degree by then!)

Response to SaschaHM (Reply #9)

radius777

(3,635 posts)
23. exactly, if she holds CO,PA,VA,NH - game over,
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 11:59 AM
Oct 2016

even without any of the other swing states (many of which she is still likely to win).

0rganism

(23,955 posts)
11. lol clearly the kind of dead-heat horse race where anything could happen
Mon Oct 3, 2016, 01:37 PM
Oct 2016

apparently, any time a poll shows HRC leading, media pros have to add 5 points to the MOE to arrive at the appropriate headline.

Cryptoad

(8,254 posts)
16. They were still saying that as of this morning.....
Mon Oct 3, 2016, 04:04 PM
Oct 2016

dont forget that that unchanging USC/LATimes poll that has Trump up 6

mountain grammy

(26,623 posts)
15. Good, good news!
Mon Oct 3, 2016, 03:20 PM
Oct 2016

I hope Coffman and Tipton lose their jobs too. Buck and Lamborn, no hope. We're stuck with those idiots forever.

BobTheSubgenius

(11,563 posts)
19. The flip side to this undeniable good news.
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 11:38 AM
Oct 2016

Since mid-July, Trump and his surrogates have uttered how many outrages that would sink almost any other candidate? How could the polling numbers be holding after the debate? The PTSD comment? The Machado debacle?

It's mind-boggling that he has any support beyond the lunatic fringe.

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)
21. People who are voting for the Supreme Court explains most of it.
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 11:44 AM
Oct 2016

They would vote for Daffy Duck, if he had an "R" in front of his name.

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