2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNot surprising (to DU) Gallup came last in its prediction
Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race
By Nate Silver
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/
Avg. error 7.2. Sorry I cannot post a link to the table. Perhaps someone else can.
flamingdem
(39,321 posts)Long term total fail however
still_one
(92,396 posts)fearnobush
(3,960 posts)That was the day when I knew Obama had this thing wrapped up. Gallup was way over the top, few could take them seriousl, yet many in the MSM did just that and they got burned for it. I noticed during the last two weeks, no one was reporting Gallups numbers anymore.
question everything
(47,534 posts)but I kinda remember from 2008 that it was dead wrong. And a hint of favoring the Rs. At least when Mr. Newport was being interviewed. One day my spouse was worried - this is what Gallup says? I replied not to worry that it is tilted R. Spouse was shocked.