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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNYT/Siena College: Clinton and Trump Tied in NC - 41 % 41 %
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/09/22/upshot/north-carolina-upshot-siena-poll.html?_r=0Well-educated white voters are rejecting Republican candidates in North Carolina, and it might just be enough to jeopardize the chances of Donald J. Trump to win the presidency and his party to keep the Senate. Hillary Clinton and Mr. Trump are tied, 41 percent to 41 percent, among likely voters in a three-way race in North Carolina, according to a New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll released on Thursday. Mrs. Clinton leads by two percentage points in a head-to-head contest, 45 percent to 43 percent.
The presidential contest might be the least of the Republican Partys worries in this rapidly changing state. The embattled Republican governor, Pat McCrory, trails by eight points against Attorney General Roy Cooper, 50 percent to 42 percent. And even Senator Richard Burr, who was not thought to be in great jeopardy just a few months ago, trails his Democratic challenger, Deborah Ross, by four points, 46-42. That contest is among the handful that seem likely to decide control of the Senate.
It is her largest lead in a public survey so far, and in general, the poll offers stronger results for Democrats than several surveys in the state this month.
Perhaps no battleground state is as polarized along demographic lines as North Carolina. Mr. Trump has a lead of 53 percent to 28 percent among white voters, most likely his best tally with that group in any of the battleground states. Mrs. Clinton holds the overwhelming support of black voters, at 86 percent to 3 percent in a three-way race.
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NYT/Siena College: Clinton and Trump Tied in NC - 41 % 41 % (Original Post)
factfinder_77
Sep 2016
OP
Cicada
(4,533 posts)1. College educated whites favor Democrat for Pres, Gov and Senator
Sounds like the tectonic plates are moving North Carolina toward the Democratic Party
Demsrule86
(68,703 posts)2. That poll is acutally not bad for Hillary.
I would remind you that we have only taken North Carolina once since 1976 and that was in 2008. This is not one of our usual states...it says something that it is in play at all. Obama won North Carolina with 49.7 vs 49.4% for McCain.
democrattotheend
(11,607 posts)3. Agreed
Unless Trump flips several Obama states and at least one Kerry state we don't need NC, although we'd certainly like it.
I wonder if the recent events in Charlotte will have any impact.
factfinder_77
(841 posts)4. ***breaking***
triron
(22,025 posts)5. Thanks
I will get better at starting a thread. My first.
triron
(22,025 posts)6. Internals?
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)8. In light whats going.on with the shooting of an.unarmed
Black man this might rachet up people who are upset to vote.