New Nationwide poll of Latinos: HRC: 71% Trump: 18%

[book_worm]

As Latino voters prepare to head to the polls in less than two months, the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund and Noticias Telemundo released the results of the first wave of an eight week tracking poll of Latino voters. NALEO Educational Fund projects that more than 13.1 million Latinos will cast ballots in Election 2016, making support among Latino voters critical in the race for the White House.

If the Election were held today, Hillary Clinton would win Latino voters by a large margin. Results show that 71 percent of Latino voters polled would cast a ballot for Secretary Clinton if the election were today, compared to 18 percent for Donald Trump and 5 percent for an alternate candidate. Six percent reported being undecided.

Donald Trump’s comments considered racist by most Latino voters. More than 72 percent of polled Latino voters reported viewing Trump remarks about Latinos as racist, while only 30 percent believed Trump would bring the change needed in Washington.
Hillary Clinton viewed as experienced, but not perfect. More than 72 percent of Latino voters think Secretary Clinton has the right experience to be President, but some reservations remain among the electorate. Nearly half of polled Latino voters consider her untrustworthy.

Both presidential candidates have some work to do. Compared to the favorability rating for President Obama (72 percent), Secretary Clinton (66 percent) and Trump (25 percent) have some ground to make up among Latino voters. Nearly one-third (31 percent) of Latino voters also reported being less excited about Election 2016 than Election 2012.

Latino voters will be decisive. More than 91 percent of polled Latino voters stated they would more than likely cast ballots this year.

http://us1.campaign-archive1.com/?u=c1a51befb8159efb3bbd1f2620f9e1&id=c6cc34bc08&e=3u1ow7qV0q

[MyNameIsKhan]

1. Even the NYT poll today found HRC getting 61% of latino votes in FL

[LisaL]

2. Cuban Latinos tend to be more conservative.

[democrattotheend]

3. That seems like a decent number for Florida

Florida Hispanics are more Republican than Hispanics nationwide because older Cubans tend to be more conservative.

[Skoods]

14. In 2012

Obama won Hispanics in Florida 60-39. According to CNN exit polls.

He won Latinos nationwide 71-27

[Charles Bukowski]

16. And Trump has a better chance

of forming a coherent sentence than he does winning 39% of the Latino vote in Florida.

Despite recent polling, I still think the state is fools gold for Trump. Hillary will ultimately win it by 2-3 points.

[MyNameIsKhan]

17. The point is trump is polling 18% in Florida, rest latino are going to Johnson...

With 18% he cannot fill the deficit by white voters and win... there are not that many votes left.

[lunamagica]

4. Woo Whoo!!! Si se puede!

[Barack_America]

5. That "untrustworthy" stat is concerning.

21%+ of Hispanics are going to vote for her though they don't trust her? Bizarre.

[democrattotheend]

9. I don't fully trust her, and I am voting for her

Because she is clearly the best choice available. Probably many voters feel that way.

[Barack_America]

12. If polled, you would respond that she is, "untrustworthy"?

I probably need to go look at the question that was asked.

But, for the record, I feel exactly as you do.

[democrattotheend]

22. No

I don't think she is untrustworthy. I don't fully trust her because some of her beliefs are to the right of mine, especially on foreign policy. That's different from her being untrustworthy. I don't think she is more untrustworthy than other politicians, although I do think she is too secretive. I think that has more to do with being guarded after all the crap that has been said about her than it is about her actually covering anything up, but it is a concern for me because I want a president whose administration is at least as transparent as President Obama's, preferably more.

[Skoods]

15. Anyone who trusts a politician

Is either naive or too idealistic.

People think it's worse nowadays. But the truth is that the only difference is that the media will actually report it nowadays.

Well, unless your name is Donald Trump.

[lunamagica]

11. Bizarre? they didn't ask about trump, but I'm sure he is trusted much, much less than she is

From the poll:

Hillary Clinton viewed as experienced, but not perfect. More than 72 percent of Latino voters think Secretary Clinton has the right experience to be President, but some reservations remain among the electorate. Nearly half of polled Latino voters consider her untrustworthy.

Hillary Clinton is viewed as experienced, but not perfect. That is your answer. She's experienced, but not perfect. Not bizarre at all.

[alcibiades_mystery]

18. Refighting?

[JRLeft]

35. I don't trust her st all and I'm voting for her. Well I'm voting against Trump.

[democrattotheend]

6. 71% is exactly what Obama got in 2012

And Latinos were 10% of the electorate. If she can turn them out in the same numbers and match Obama's number she is in good shape with that group. But I did read that Hillary's campaign has lagged behind Obama's in terms of turnout efforts aimed at Latinos thus far.

[BeyondGeography]

7. That's fully 1/3 less than Romney's share of the Latino vote

[book_worm]

13. Yep, Trump is polling poorly

[vadermike]

8. great results

As long as the Hispanic vote come out to vote at least as much or more than they did for President O, we should be fine in FL, NV, CO at least.. even if we lose OH and IA

[alcibiades_mystery]

19. Make sure to say "lose Ohio" at least five more times today

Gotta hit that quota, jack.

[vadermike]

21. ok

its trending Trump at the moment.. i hope we don't lose it,,,!!!! just being realistic in a worst case scenario...in case we do lose those two we can still win with FL CO etc.. thats all i was saying

[alcibiades_mystery]

25. Some of the people some of the time, etc.

I see you, homie.

[sheshe2]

10. Kick and Hell yes Recommend.

[Blue Idaho]

20. 18% seems high...

For a guy that wants to deport every Latino he can lay his hands on...

[Warren DeMontague]

23. How the fuck does he get 18%?

Sure it's not 1.8%?

[Loki Liesmith]

26. You could convince 18% of the population to shoot themselves in the head

with a slick enough ad campaign.

[Warren DeMontague]

30. sure, but his "latino outreach" hasn't exactly been what you would call slick.

[Farmgirl1961]

24. ¡Es Fantastico!

Awesome news.

Am I to understand this is the first National polling for Latino voters? Does anyone know if this kind of information will be reflected in upcoming poll sites.

I'm curious about why the Nate Silver 538 numbers bounced up for Clinton yesterday, but are now down the roughly 2% points she was up. Although other polling sites she higher probabilities (yay!!) I admit that I would like to see higher percentages for Hillary at 538.

[iandhr]

27. Are the 18% of Hispanics who support Trump...

Last edited Mon Sep 19, 2016, 09:32 PM - Edit history (1)

The Latino versions of Clayton Bigsby?

[onecaliberal]

28. Who are those people

[shrike]

32. I know one

Old guy, blue collar, hates immigrants (even though he was one.) Stupidest person I know, and that's saying a lot.

[onecaliberal]

33. Wow. It's still astonishing.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

29. Crush Trump like a cucaracha. Grumpy Old Paleface party too. . . . . nt

[asiliveandbreathe]

31. Latino Vote will sink trump in Florida....

http://www.univision.com/univision-news/politics/univision-forecast-latino-vote-will-sink-trump-in-florida

Trump's defeat in Florida will stem primarily from the Hispanic vote, since Latinos have a growing influence in the state and show a clear preference for Clinton. According to our forecast, 18% of Florida voters in November will be Hispanic. Of those, 6 out of 10 will support the Democratic candidate.


Republicans still haven't found a way to reach Florida’s Latino voters. In 2012, President Barack Obama won Florida with a boost from Hispanics, and won reelection. He needed 58% of the Latino vote to win the state, but he won even more: 60%.

This article actually looks at 5 states...high Latino population....

[radius777]

34. I think the models underestimate

the fear that many latinos and immigrants (many of whom have registered and are planning to vote for the first time) have of a Trump win, and will turn out (imo) in record numbers.

The whole 'Hillary is untrustworthy' thing comes from sexist memes that paint her as sneaky and power hungry, memes that come from both the far left and the far right, and the media - all of which her campaign has been ineffective at battling.