As Trump rises in battleground states, Clinton moves to block his path to 270

[geek tragedy]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-trump-rises-in-battleground-states-clinton-moves-to-block-his-path-to-270

State by state, Clinton’s advisers have a sober assessment of where the race stands. But they say that if they can turn out their votes — especially among young people, a critical Democratic constituency that has registered soft support for Clinton — they have ample ways to block Trump from winning the necessary 270 electoral votes despite clear deterioration in several states.

“We expected this to tighten. We expect it to tighten even further,” Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook said. “That’s why we built a robust campaign in all 50 states, but especially in the battleground states. It’s going to come down to small margins. .?.?. We’re spending a lot of time making sure of our vote.”

State/demographics outlook:

At Clinton’s New York headquarters, her aides attribute much of the movement to which candidate is under fire and which one is out of the headlines. They have seen erosion in her support among white voters during difficult weeks, although they argue that those voters have shifted to the undecided column rather than moving all the way to supporting Trump.

The Clinton campaign is pessimistic about both Ohio and Iowa, which Obama also won twice. Public polls show Trump ahead in both — and comfortably so in Iowa, an overwhelmingly white state and one of the only battleground states in which the Republican establishment has fully embraced Trump. A Monmouth University survey this week showed Trump ahead of Clinton there, 45 percent to 37 percent, with Johnson running in third, at 8 percent.



The Clinton campaign is pessimistic about both Ohio and Iowa, which Obama also won twice. Public polls show Trump ahead in both — and comfortably so in Iowa, an overwhelmingly white state and one of the only battleground states in which the Republican establishment has fully embraced Trump. A Monmouth University survey this week showed Trump ahead of Clinton there, 45 percent to 37 percent, with Johnson running in third, at 8 percent.


Florida, another state Obama twice carried, remains extremely competitive, according to public and private polls, and probably will be until the end. Clinton advisers, however, note that they can lose all three of those states and still win the presidency.

Their position is strengthened, they argue, by what they say are strong standings in Virginia and Colorado because of the demographics there, though some public polls show a tightening race in the latter.

Clinton advisers are zeroing in on North Carolina as a potential back-breaker for Trump. In 2012, it was the only major swing state that Romney won, but it is by no means a sure thing for Trump. The RealClearPolitics average of polls there has Clinton hanging to a razor-tight lead, 42.8 percent to Trump’s 42.2 percent, with Johnson at 7.2 percent.

Clinton is probably likely to win, but there is a very real danger of a Trump presidency.

[Farmgirl1961]

1. Unfortunately, I concur that the possibility exists

unless she can turn some of these swing states around and start getting out there. She had Ohio and Florida at comfortable margins...

[vadermike]

2. So

OH is gone now too ? I hope we can get FL at least but this article scares me boho or they aren't going to play like Gore did and prevent defense They need to go on the offensive against trump !!

[geek tragedy]

3. They're trying to place offense in NC.

But that's the only state they have a possibility of flipping from 2012. Trump is going to win several states that Obama won in 2012, but he needs to win a bunch.

[vadermike]

4. Well

The fact that he's winning Obama states is scary as shit We shouldn't be in this position I hope we get NC I am terrified Trump is gonna run the table on obama states then what do we do I trust Hillarys campaign but damn I feel like there was a fuck up somewhere for us to even be in this position GOTV !

[geek tragedy]

5. Ironically, it looks like the Clinton campaign may have made a mistake playing offense

by trying to peel off moderate/sane Republicans rather than concentrating on maximizing our base's turnout by focusing on ideological issues. Republicans, even the ones who pretend to be decent human beings, are bad people who really don't have a sense of public morality or object to racism and bigotry--otherwise they wouldn't be Republicans.

Trump is spiking GOP turnout by appealing to their racism. Clinton needs to find a way to excite our base--especially young voters--into voting.