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Jester Messiah

(4,711 posts)
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 09:41 AM Mar 2012

Just a thought about the Illinois primary returns

According to the AP, Romney's percentage was greater than Newt's and Sanctimonium's combined. Sort of puts the boot in for all those "true believers" that claim "If Newt would drop out, Santorum could beat Romney." Romney had 46.7%, Santorum had 35.0%, Newt had 8%. Even assuming all Newt's support went to Santorum (it wouldn't), it still wouldn't be enough. The reverse is also true; if Santorum dropped out, you can bet that a sizable portion of those goddballs couldn't bring themselves to vote for the Serial Monogamist.

It's time for them to wake up and smell the despair. This fall it's Obama vs. Romney. It wasn't ever going to end any other way.

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Just a thought about the Illinois primary returns (Original Post) Jester Messiah Mar 2012 OP
I have believed all along that Mitt der Shitt would garner the nod Cirque du So-What Mar 2012 #1
Yeah, hopefully they'll split off into some sort of 3rd party run. Jester Messiah Mar 2012 #2
True, but Proud Public Servant Mar 2012 #3
And he's winning in counties and areas that he is sure to lose against Obama. Liberal_Stalwart71 Mar 2012 #5
Millard's Real Problem KharmaTrain Mar 2012 #4
Mitt's not going to lose the red states. onenote Mar 2012 #6
It's not about losing 'all' the red states... Drunken Irishman Mar 2012 #7
Exacltly.. many of purple/swing states could be very close.. DCBob Mar 2012 #8

Cirque du So-What

(25,962 posts)
1. I have believed all along that Mitt der Shitt would garner the nod
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 09:46 AM
Mar 2012

I still hold out hope, however, that the teabaggers raise a ruckus at the gooper convention over the loss of their favored nutjobs.

 

Jester Messiah

(4,711 posts)
2. Yeah, hopefully they'll split off into some sort of 3rd party run.
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 09:55 AM
Mar 2012

Even if they don't, Romney winning the nomination should depress their turnout a good bit. There was never a good way out of this for them. The two wings of the Republican party have become too different, their "marriage" is on the rocks.

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
3. True, but
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 10:05 AM
Mar 2012

It's also worth noting that Romney cleared the 50% bar in only 3 Illinois counties. Santorum accomplished that feat in at least two dozen counties, and got over 60% of the vote in three of those. They were smaller counties, to be sure, but teh farther you get from major cities (and Mormons), the stronger Santorum's support is -- and where its strong, its much stronger than Romney's is anywhere.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
5. And he's winning in counties and areas that he is sure to lose against Obama.
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 10:37 AM
Mar 2012

That is the ultimate irony. Sure R-Money is winning these contests...in states, counties, and cities that he is sure to lose in November no matter what he does.

KharmaTrain

(31,706 posts)
4. Millard's Real Problem
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 10:08 AM
Mar 2012

Mittens has won mostly Blue states...he's not going to win Illinois in November nor do I think Michigan or Ohio or many of the states that he has so far. Inversely, the only red states he's won has been Utah, Arizona, Alaska & Wyoming...but has struck out in the deep south. Makes one wonder how much enthusiasm he'll have in those areas in November. Will white trump mormon? As this demolition derby churns on and the wounds get deeper, does Millard have the stuff to bring the party together? He'll need another "Palin"...

onenote

(42,737 posts)
6. Mitt's not going to lose the red states.
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 01:57 PM
Mar 2012

Whether or not he lost them during primary season. Even if the turnout on the R side is low and the margin is greater, Mississippi isn't suddenly go blue.

The key as it almost always is will be the purple states --the swing states that are not predictably blue or red. And to be honest, its probably too early to predict how those states will vote.

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
7. It's not about losing 'all' the red states...
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 02:50 PM
Mar 2012

It's about not being as competitive in the purple red states (like Missouri Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia and South Carolina) as past Republicans. If Romney loses just one of those states, he loses the election and probably in a landslide.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
8. Exacltly.. many of purple/swing states could be very close..
Wed Mar 21, 2012, 06:22 PM
Mar 2012

if the cons are not inspired, and some dont show up, that could be the difference.

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