Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Hillary +1 in Texas & Arizona, tied in Georgia? (Original Post) Dem2 Sep 2016 OP
Not good polls SCliberal91294 Sep 2016 #1
Lol! Dem2 Sep 2016 #2
He's nervous Sugarcoated Sep 2016 #7
No, read my reply below CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #13
Texas, Arizona, and Georgia all have large populations of Hispanics Botany Sep 2016 #4
Yep, Survey Monkey polls are not that good. tinrobot Sep 2016 #10
Survey polls are not worth the paper written on. nt. Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #15
yes, it's really awful that the Democrat is losing by a couple of points in deeply red states La Lioness Priyanka Sep 2016 #12
I can only speak to a very few people I know duncang Sep 2016 #3
I would suspect that most of the people living near you are college educated CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #9
A split on education duncang Sep 2016 #16
But...but the mainstream media CanonRay Sep 2016 #5
The race is tightening CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #11
Come on, turn those states purple baby!!! ffr Sep 2016 #6
Did anyone notice these are INTERNET POLLS CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #8
good news, if it's accurate martin mike Sep 2016 #14
Rachel and Joy seem to find these state poll results interesting Dem2 Sep 2016 #17

SCliberal91294

(170 posts)
1. Not good polls
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:44 AM
Sep 2016

They were conducted over a 25 days or so. Hard to believe, this poll has Colorado, Michigan, Wisconsin too close.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
13. No, read my reply below
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:04 PM
Sep 2016

These are useless internet polls - And I won't take kindly to being called a troll since I am a huge Hillary supporter. I just like to deal in facts, not fantasy.

Botany

(70,539 posts)
4. Texas, Arizona, and Georgia all have large populations of Hispanics
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:49 AM
Sep 2016

Texas almost 40%, Arizona 30%, and Georgia has 9% (32% black too)

tinrobot

(10,909 posts)
10. Yep, Survey Monkey polls are not that good.
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:56 AM
Sep 2016

Let's not cheer too quickly here, we still have a lot of work to do in these states.

 

La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)
12. yes, it's really awful that the Democrat is losing by a couple of points in deeply red states
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:02 PM
Sep 2016

how can we ever survive this?

:faints on couch:

duncang

(1,907 posts)
3. I can only speak to a very few people I know
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:49 AM
Sep 2016

I live near Conroe Texas. My next door neighbor has a extended family around here. 6 families and houses total. They had been a mix of democrat and republican voters. Since the campaign has been going they have shifted over to supporting Hillary. Some are still planning on voting down ticket republican. But some have also moved from that. Some moved over because of the Cruz/dipshit row and won't vote for him. Some because of the rhetoric against latinos have moved over since it is a mixed European Mexican heritage family. I don't know or think it will turn Texas blue, but there has been a shift.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
9. I would suspect that most of the people living near you are college educated
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:54 AM
Sep 2016

Regardless, 6 families in one location are in no way representative of all of the likely voters in the state of Texas. Nice to talk about, but not significant in any way.

duncang

(1,907 posts)
16. A split on education
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:17 PM
Sep 2016

Some are blue collar with good jobs some college educated with white collar jobs. As I said it was just a small group of people I know and have met. And it was just anecdotal to the OP.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
11. The race is tightening
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:00 PM
Sep 2016

Read my post below - these are useless internet polls. And before you call me a troll - consider that I am a huge Hillary supporter. However, I can't disregard facts. If you actually want facts instead of fantasy, check out Nate Silver's predictions for the election and how Hillary's lead has narrowed in all swing states: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ Then click on the individual swing states and their polls and you will see how the races in almost all of the swing states have tightened considerably.

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
8. Did anyone notice these are INTERNET POLLS
Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:52 AM
Sep 2016

From the Washington Post/Survey Monkey website:

This Washington Post-SurveyMonkey 50-state poll was conducted online August 9 - September 1, 2016 among 74,886 registered voters, including between 546 and 5,147 respondents in each state. The sample was drawn among the respondents who completed separate, user-generated polls using SurveyMonkey’s platform during this period. Results are weighted to match demographic characteristics of registered voters in each state. No margins of sampling error are calculated, as this statistic is only applicable to randomly sampled surveys.

In other words the total populations surveyed by these consisted only of those people who registered on the SurveyMonkey website. This means that the poll populations surveyed are unlikely to be accurate representations of the states' registered voters.

I would pay absolutely no attention to these polls.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Hillary +1 in Texas & Ari...