2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTrump catches up to Clinton, latest Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has pulled into an effective tie with Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, erasing a substantial deficit as he consolidated support among his partys likely voters in recent weeks, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos national tracking poll released Friday.
The poll showed 40 percent of likely voters supporting Trump and 39 percent backing Clinton for the week of Aug. 26 to Sept. 1. Clinton's support has dropped steadily in the weekly tracking poll since Aug. 25, eliminating what had been a eight-point lead for her.
Trump's gains came as Republican support for their partys candidate jumped by six percentage points over the past two weeks, to about 78 percent. That is still below the 85 percent support Republican nominee Mitt Romney enjoyed in the summer of 2012, but the improvement helps explain Trumps rise in the poll.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll is conducted online in English in all 50 states. The latest poll surveyed 1,804 likely voters over the course of the week; it had a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of three percent.
Different polls have produced widely different results over the course of the campaign. In part that's because some, like Reuters/Ipsos, have attempted to measure the preferences of who's likely to vote, while others have surveyed the larger pool of all registered voters. And even those that survey likely voters have different ways of estimating who is likely to cast a ballot.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN1182PT?utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_content=57ca13ae04d30110abc0399f&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=facebook
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Lets all hide under the bed over an online poll. Dis is bad, dis is reaaal bad.....
You are at least the 10th handwringer to post this bullshit poll here in the last 2 hours. You guys are laying it on really thick tonight.
still_one
(92,190 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)uponit7771
(90,339 posts)vadermike
(1,415 posts)fuck. If we start seeing other polling (which we are starting to ) confirm this.. we are in deep shit.. IBD/TIPP is tied as well.
The real deal will be the state polls next week.. if they are all tied then ugh... ugh ... thanks media for giving us President trump.. please tell me this is a dream and not real.. it is an online poll but it can be picking up trends
still_one
(92,190 posts)weight the states correctly, and is not a true measure of the electoral college
Skoods
(341 posts)Relax. It's one poll in early September.
Secondly, you really blame the media? How about blaming the American electorate who can go from supporting a progressive democrat to supporting a fascist republican in a week just because of the news
stopbush
(24,396 posts)grossproffit
(5,591 posts)vadermike
(1,415 posts)i heard a dem friend on facebook say they saw a clinton campaign spokesperson the tv saying that the clinton campaihn now beleives things have tightened up in the race internally... is this true? anyone hear anything? cause if that's the case that is some scary shit.. even more scary than these public polls! i want to hide under a rock until election day lol
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)If you don't have what it takes to participate in politics, then don't.
Response to vadermike (Reply #8)
Post removed
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)Are you actually mitigating the extreme insanity and rotten-to-the-very-core candidacy of Donald Trump while bashing the Democratic Party with the "Democratic Kool Aid" comment? My goodness! Just what are you possibly thinking and why are you here?
Trump is a supremely unqualified raging slimebucket who can not be allowed to get anywhere near the White House. A blind person could see that.
uponit7771
(90,339 posts)zappaman
(20,606 posts)DFW
(54,384 posts)David Simas (of Axelrod and) told me that the polls would appear to tighten up seriously around Labor Day, but not to worry about it. He said he and his team would tear their hair out so the rest of us (Obama supporters) wouldn't have to.
He was right then, and I think the same could be said now.