New Pennsylvania Poll: Dems lead in both Presidential and Senate race
West Long Branch, NJ - Pennsylvania is currently looking positive for Democrats according to the Monmouth University Poll . Hillary Clinton has an 8 point lead over Donald Trump in the race for president and Katie McGinty has a 4 point edge over Pat Toomey in the U.S. Senate contest.
Among Keystone State voters likely to cast ballots in November's presidential election, 48% currently support Clinton and 40% back Trump. Another 6% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 1% back Jill Stein of the Green Party, and 4% are undecided. Slightly more Democrats back Clinton (86%) than Republicans who back Trump (81%). Independents are divided at 39% for Trump and 36% for Clinton, with 17% supporting Johnson and 2% supporting Stein.
Clinton leads by a massive 85 points among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters (90% to 5%), while Trump leads by 9 points among white voters (48% to 39%). In 2012, Barack Obama won non-white voters by 71 points while Mitt Romney took the white vote by 15 points. Trump is winning white men by 18 points (50% to 32%), but is virtually tied among white women (45% to 46% for Clinton). The GOP nominee is ahead among white voters without a college degree by 25 points (57% to 32%), but is trailing among college educated white voters by 10 points (37% to 47%). Four years ago, Romney won the votes of both white men (by 21 points) and white women (by 9 points). He also won the white vote by a similar margin regardless of education - by 13 points among non-graduates and by 15 points among those with a college degree.
Clinton is doing exceptionally well in the southeastern corner of the state - she leads Trump by a 62% to 29% margin in the seven congressional districts that encompass the city of Philadelphia and its adjacent suburbs. Historically, this area accounts for more than 40% of the statewide turnout in a typical election, with Obama winning the region by a 62% to 37% margin four years ago. Trump holds a lead of 58% to 28% in the less populous northeastern and central part of the state - better than Romney's 53% to 46% win here - but has a smaller 47% to 40% edge in the western portion - similar to Romney's 53% to 45% advantage in 2012
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_083016/
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