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2016 Postmortem

gabeana

(3,166 posts) Tue Aug 23, 2016, 07:50 PM Aug 2016

Just think what our country would be like if only

white people were allowed to vote
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-faces-hurdle-minority-voters-clinton-maintains-lead-poll-shows-n636061

Trump ahead 50% to 41%

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Just think what our country would be like if only (Original Post) gabeana Aug 2016 OP

It disturbs me. If we take out the white Evangelical Christians, Clinton would be ahead. Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #1

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,855 posts)

1. It disturbs me. If we take out the white Evangelical Christians, Clinton would be ahead.

Reply to gabeana (Original post)

Tue Aug 23, 2016, 08:02 PM

Aug 2016

I saw a recent poll that indicated Trump leads among white Evangelicals, 69% to 19%.

I've seen estimates that Evangelicals comprise about 35% of the population. If true, we can get a rough idea of Trump's support among white non-Evangelicals by solving for x in the following:
0.35(69/88) + 0.65(x) = 50/91

--> x = 42.3%

Using the 91% total from your article, it would likely be 38.5% for Trump vs. 52.5% for Clinton among the white non-Evangelicals.

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